| Conference: MC | Region: NY A Sec 5 | State: NY | Coach: Amy Nesbitt |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
4/01 | N | Brockport | 5- | 12 | -7 | -3 | –– | 0.00 | -4.42 | |
4/02 | A | Irondequoit | 1- | 10 | -9 | -9 | | 0.78 | 0.17 | |
4/08 | A | Pittsford | 7- | 12 | -5 | -6 | | 0.78 | 0.79 | |
4/10 | H | Gates-Chili | 9- | 6 | 3 | 3 | | -0.78 | -0.32 | |
4/17 | A | Livonia, NY | 16- | 5 | 11 | 2 | +++ | 0.78 | 8.81 | |
4/18 | H | Brockport | 14- | 13 | 1 | -2 | + | -0.78 | 2.80 | |
4/23 | H | Churchville-Chili | 17- | 7 | 10 | 7 | + | -0.78 | 2.75 | |
4/25 | A | Churchville-Chili | 15- | 6 | 9 | 6 | + | 0.78 | 3.32 | |
4/29 | H | Irondequoit | 9- | 20 | -11 | -8 | – | -0.78 | -3.39 | |
5/01 | H | Athena-Odyssey | 19- | 6 | 13 | 15 | – | -0.78 | -2.15 | |
5/05 | H | East Irondequoit | 10- | 8 | 2 | 3 | | -0.78 | -0.54 | |
5/07 | A | Olympia-Arcadia | 15- | 6 | 9 | 6 | + | 0.78 | 3.15 | |
5/09 | A | Penfield | 9- | 14 | -5 | -10 | ++ | 0.78 | 4.77 | |
5/13 | A | Fairport | 2- | 12 | -10 | -8 | – | 0.78 | -2.09 | |
5/15 | H | Rush-Henrietta | 4- | 18 | -14 | -9 | –– | -0.78 | -5.49 | |
5/19 | H | Webster Schroeder | 9- | 11 | -2 | 0 | – | -0.78 | -2.24 | |
5/29 | A | Rush-Henrietta | 2- | 18 | -16 | -10 | –– | 0.78 | -5.93 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/17 | A | Livonia, NY | 16- | 5 | -1.00 |
4/23 | H | Churchville-Chili | 17- | 7 | 0.00 |
4/29 | H | Irondequoit | 9- | 20 | 1.00 |
5/01 | H | Athena-Odyssey | 19- | 6 | 2.15 |
5/13 | A | Fairport | 2- | 12 | 0.00 |
5/15 | H | Rush-Henrietta | 4- | 18 | 4.00 |
5/29 | A | Rush-Henrietta | 2- | 18 | 6.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.71 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 76. | | Natl CCR Rank | 542 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.85 | | Natl Power Rank | 542 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 72.81 | | Natl SOS Rank | 300 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.45 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 482 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.47 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1086 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -10.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -6.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -10.7 |
|
