High School Computer Ratings

St. Paul's SG, MD Gators (7-12)

Region: MD IAAM A

State: MD

Coach: Mitch Whiteley

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/25	at McDonogh School (18-3)	MD IAAM A	95.6	2	L	5-	12		-0.100
3/26	MARYVALE PREP (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9	10	L	11-	14		-0.300
3/28	at Mount de Sales (8-10)	MD IAAM A	86.2		W	12-	8		0.200
3/31	MERCY, MD (4-11)	MD IAAM A	84.6		W	9-	7		0.175
4/02	ROLAND PARK COUNTRY (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	L	7-	8		-0.225
4/04	NOTRE DAME PREP, MD (13-7)	MD IAAM A	91.2	4	L	5-	14		-0.175
4/09	at St. Mary's, MD (13-8)	MD IAAM A	90.7	6	W	9-	5		0.350
4/11	SETON KEOUGH (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5		W	11-	7		0.100
4/12	vs. Collegiate School # (19-2)	VA LIS	88.3		L	13-	17		-0.225
4/12	at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (26-0)	DC ISL A	98.7		L	6-	16		0.000
4/16	at Archbishop Spalding (13-6)	MD IAAM A	90.9	5	L	6-	13		-0.175
4/18	SEVERN SCHOOL (12-6)	MD IAAM A	92.4	3	L	9-	10		-0.175
4/19	NORTH HARFORD (9-8)	MD 2A	83.7		W	10-	9	ot	0.150
4/21	at Garrison Forest (17-3)	MD IAAM B	84.4		W	10-	7		0.200
4/23	at John Carroll School (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	4-	16		-0.025
4/25	BRYN MAWR SG (9-7)	MD IAAM A	89.6	7	L	9-	11		-0.200
4/26	MOORESTOWN (24-1)	NJ BuCo	95.8		L	9-	13		-0.075
5/02	at Roland Park Country (7-7)	MD IAAM A	89.3	8	W	12-	11		0.300
5/06	at John Carroll School (18-0)	MD IAAM A	98.7	1	L	11-	12		-0.025
# Neutral site			91.9						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	McDonogh School	5-	12	-7	-6		0.54	-0.95
3/26	H	Maryvale Prep	11-	14	-3	2	––	-0.54	-5.29
3/28	A	Mount de Sales	12-	8	4	2	+	0.54	2.38
3/31	H	Mercy, MD	9-	7	2	3		-0.54	-0.61
4/02	H	Roland Park Country	7-	8	-1	-1		-0.54	0.11
4/04	H	Notre Dame Prep, MD	5-	14	-9	-3	–––	-0.54	-6.17
4/09	A	St. Mary's, MD	9-	5	4	-4	+++	0.54	7.77
4/11	H	Seton Keough	11-	7	4	6	–	-0.54	-2.38
4/12	N	Collegiate School	13-	17	-4	-1	–	0.00		-2.87
4/12	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	6-	16	-10	-13	+	1.30		2.78
4/16	A	Archbishop Spalding	6-	13	-7	-3	––	0.54	-4.44
4/18	H	Severn School	9-	10	-1	-3	+	-0.54	2.15
4/19	H	North Harford	10-	9	1	4	–	-0.77		-3.28
4/21	A	Garrison Forest	10-	7	3	2		0.63		0.85
4/23	A	John Carroll School	4-	16	-12	-9	–	0.54	-3.22
4/25	H	Bryn Mawr SG	9-	11	-2	-2		-0.54	-0.31
4/26	H	Moorestown	9-	13	-4	-7	+	-1.18		3.45
5/02	A	Roland Park Country	12-	11	1	-2	+	0.54	3.18
5/06	A	John Carroll School	11-	12	-1	-9	+++	0.54	7.78
									0.00	0.92