| Region: VA Lbrty | State: VA | Coach: Dana Drever |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/14 | H | Washington-Lee | 21- | 4 | 17 | 18 | | -2.28 | -1.31 | |
3/26 | A | Falls Church | 18- | 2 | 16 | 9 | +++ | 2.28 | 6.83 | |
3/28 | H | Loudoun Valley | 8- | 7 | 1 | 3 | | -2.28 | -1.68 | |
3/31 | H | George C. Marshall | 16- | 2 | 14 | 16 | | -2.28 | -1.54 | |
4/02 | A | Broad Run | 6- | 7 | -1 | 0 | | 2.28 | -0.82 | |
4/05 | A | James Madison | 21- | 8 | 13 | 6 | +++ | 2.28 | 7.01 | |
4/08 | A | Thomas Jefferson S&T | 14- | 6 | 8 | 5 | + | 2.28 | 2.51 | |
4/10 | H | Langley | 10- | 5 | 5 | 6 | | -2.28 | -1.48 | |
4/14 | H | W.T. Woodson | 12- | 11 | 1 | 3 | | -2.28 | -1.90 | |
4/17 | A | South Lakes | 15- | 1 | 14 | 14 | | 2.28 | -0.11 | |
4/24 | A | McLean, VA | 15- | 2 | 13 | 11 | | 2.28 | 1.89 | |
5/05 | H | South Lakes | 16- | 2 | 14 | 19 | –– | -2.28 | -4.67 | |
5/07 | N | James Madison | 21- | 7 | 14 | 8 | ++ | 0.00 | 5.73 | |
5/09 | H | W.T. Woodson | 14- | 11 | 3 | 3 | | -2.28 | 0.10 | |
5/13 | H | Lake Braddock | 12- | 5 | 7 | 10 | – | -2.28 | -2.88 | |
5/15 | A | Chantilly | 5- | 18 | -13 | -5 | ––– | 2.28 | -7.69 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/14 | H | Washington-Lee | 21- | 4 | 1.31 |
3/26 | A | Falls Church | 18- | 2 | -6.00 |
3/31 | H | George C. Marshall | 16- | 2 | 1.54 |
4/05 | A | James Madison | 21- | 8 | -3.00 |
4/17 | A | South Lakes | 15- | 1 | 0.11 |
4/24 | A | McLean, VA | 15- | 2 | -1.89 |
5/05 | H | South Lakes | 16- | 2 | 4.67 |
5/07 | N | James Madison | 21- | 7 | -4.00 |
5/15 | A | Chantilly | 5- | 18 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.27 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 82. | | Natl CCR Rank | 211 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 81.88 | | Natl Power Rank | 211 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 67.25 | | Natl SOS Rank | 586 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.55 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 406 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.88 | | W-L Pct Rank | 113 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 14-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 7.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 4-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -0.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -1.0 |
|
