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St. George's School, RI Dragons (13-4)

Region: NE

State: RI

Coach: Lucy Hamilton

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/05	at Governor's Academy (11-4)	NE	83.3	7	L	2-	9		-0.150
4/09	MILTON ACADEMY (4-13)	NE	72.1		W	16-	8		0.075
4/12	at Lawrence Academy (2-13)	NE	69.1		W	20-	5		0.025
4/18	LINCOLN SCHOOL, RI (3-7)	RI SENE I	66.6		W	14-	4		0.000
4/19	at St. Mark's, MA (4-11)	NE	73.1		W	14-	10		0.175
4/21	at Portsmouth Abbey (10-3)	NE	76.9		W	17-	9		0.175
4/23	at Tabor Academy (1-13)	NE	67.9		W	20-	5		0.000
4/26	BROOKS SCHOOL (15-1)	NE	87.3	3	L	6-	12		-0.175
4/30	NOBLE & GREENOUGH (16-0)	NE	88.4	1	L	8-	16		-0.150
5/03	at Barrington, RI (13-4)	RI RIIL	68.1		W	15-	6		0.000
5/07	RIVERS SCHOOL (6-8)	NE	75.3		W	13-	8		0.100
5/10	GROTON SCHOOL (7-9)	NE	75.0		W	11-	10		0.100
5/12	WHEELER SCHOOL, RI (7-2)	RI SENE I	73.6		W	21-	11		0.025
5/14	at Buckingham, B & N (9-7)	NE	77.5		W	17-	13		0.225
5/17	at St. Paul's School, NH (4-10)	NE	74.0		W	10-	9	ot	0.175
5/21	THAYER ACADEMY (15-3)	NE	85.9	5	W	13-	9		0.325
5/24	at Middlesex School (9-4)	NE	82.5	9	L	7-	19		-0.175
			79.1						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/05	A	Governor's Academy	2-	9	-7	-4	–	1.05	-3.01
4/09	H	Milton Academy	16-	8	8	7		-1.05	1.06
4/12	A	Lawrence Academy	20-	5	15	9	+++	1.05	6.40
4/18	H	Lincoln School, RI	14-	4	10	16	––	-1.05		-5.85
4/19	A	St. Mark's, MA	14-	10	4	3		1.05	0.53
4/21	A	Portsmouth Abbey	17-	9	8	3	++	1.05	4.64
4/23	A	Tabor Academy	20-	5	15	11	++	1.05	4.40
4/26	H	Brooks School	6-	12	-6	-3	–	-1.05	-2.54
4/30	H	Noble & Greenough	8-	16	-8	-4	––	-1.05	-4.37
5/03	A	Barrington, RI	15-	6	9	12	–	1.05		-3.18
5/07	H	Rivers School	13-	8	5	6		-1.05	-0.86
5/10	H	Groton School	11-	10	1	6	––	-1.05	-4.82
5/12	H	Wheeler School, RI	21-	11	10	9		-1.05		1.20
5/14	A	Buckingham, B & N	17-	13	4	1	+	1.05	2.62
5/17	A	St. Paul's School, NH	10-	9	1	3	–	1.05	-2.24
5/21	H	Thayer Academy	13-	9	4	-3	+++	-1.05	7.20
5/24	A	Middlesex School	7-	19	-12	-3	–––	1.05	-9.00
									0.00	-7.83

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/12	A	Lawrence Academy	20-	5	-5.00
4/18	H	Lincoln School, RI	14-	4	5.85
4/23	A	Tabor Academy	20-	5	-4.40
5/12	H	Wheeler School, RI	21-	11	0.00
5/24	A	Middlesex School	7-	19	2.00
10-goal correction: -0.09

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	229
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.37		Natl Power Rank	229
Natl SOS Rating	74.65		Natl SOS Rank	236
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	289
W-L Pct Rating	0.76		W-L Pct Rank	308
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.6
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.3
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-2.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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