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St. John's, TX Mavericks (21-3)

Region: TX South

State: TX

Coach: Angie Kensinger

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/21	at Westchester-Stratford (0-13)	TX South	61.1		W	16-	2		0.000
2/23	KINGWOOD CLUB (WHITE) (1-12)	TX South	62.8		W	12-	0		0.000
2/26	KLEIN (8-10)	TX South	68.7		W	16-	2		0.000
3/04	THE WOODLANDS (6-9)	TX South	69.6		W	16-	3		0.000
3/11	LAMAR (6-11)	TX South	69.2		W	17-	6		0.000
3/12	at Episcopal, Houston (13-4)	TX Indep	77.8	4	W	13-	4		0.175
3/15	at St. Edward's (4-11)	FL Dist 8	67.3		W	11-	2		0.000
3/15	at Vero Beach (20-2)	FL Dist 8	90.3		L	2-	13		0.000
3/17	vs. Park Vista # (18-1)	FL Dist 10	83.8		L	7-	11		-0.225
3/26	BELLAIRE (7-6)	TX South	73.2		W	16-	3		0.025
3/28	MEMORIAL, HOUSTON (18-4)	TX South	78.1	3	W	15-	6		0.075
3/29	vs. Hockaday SG # (19-2)	TX North	82.8	1	W	14-	13	ot	0.225
4/01	CY-FAIR (14-4)	TX South	77.7	5	W	16-	8		0.100
4/04	at St. Andrew's Episcopal (10-9)	TX Cen D1	70.0		W	13-	2		0.000
4/04	vs. Neuqua Valley # (15-5)	IL DuPage	69.6		W	14-	2		0.000
4/08	KINKAID SCHOOL (12-13)	TX South	71.1		W	14-	3		0.000
4/09	at Kingwood (Blue) (12-5)	TX South	74.5	9	W	14-	5		0.100
4/15	at Clear Lake (4-10)	TX South	68.2		W	17-	4		0.000
4/22	EPISCOPAL, HOUSTON (13-4)	TX Indep	77.8	4	W	13-	10		0.100
4/26	vs. Memorial, Houston # (18-4)	TX South	78.1	3	W	13-	8		0.125
5/01	vs. Kinkaid School # (12-13)	TX South	71.1		W	16-	6		0.000
5/02	vs. Hockaday SG # (19-2)	TX North	82.8	1	W	9-	7		0.225
5/10	vs. Episcopal, Dallas # (15-6)	TX North	75.8	6	W	13-	7		0.100
5/11	vs. Hockaday SG # (19-2)	TX North	82.8	1	L	12-	13	ot	-0.275
# Neutral site			75.2						0.75

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/21	A	Westchester-Stratford	16-	2	14	18	–	1.58	-3.55
2/23	H	Kingwood Club (White)	12-	0	12	20	–––	-1.58	-7.96
2/26	H	Klein	16-	2	14	16		-1.58	-1.51
3/04	H	The Woodlands	16-	3	13	13		-1.58	-0.48
3/11	H	Lamar	17-	6	11	12		-1.58	-1.49
3/12	A	Episcopal, Houston	13-	4	9	3	+++	1.58	6.24
3/15	A	St. Edward's	11-	2	9	14	––	1.68		-4.54
3/15	A	Vero Beach	2-	13	-11	-10		1.68		-1.49
3/17	N	Park Vista	7-	11	-4	-1	–	0.00		-2.62
3/26	H	Bellaire	16-	3	13	9	+	-1.58	3.77
3/28	H	Memorial, Houston	15-	6	9	7	+	-1.58	2.33
3/29	N	Hockaday SG	14-	13	1	1		0.00	-0.11
4/01	H	Cy-Fair	16-	8	8	6	+	-1.58	2.11
4/04	A	St. Andrew's Episcopal	13-	2	11	10		1.58	0.51
4/04	N	Neuqua Valley	14-	2	12	13		0.00		-0.88
4/08	H	Kinkaid School	14-	3	11	11		-1.58	-0.31
4/09	A	Kingwood (Blue)	14-	5	9	6	+	1.58	3.06
4/15	A	Clear Lake	17-	4	13	11		1.58	1.73
4/22	H	Episcopal, Houston	13-	10	3	6	–	-1.58	-2.92
4/26	N	Memorial, Houston	13-	8	5	5		0.00	-0.09
5/01	N	Kinkaid School	16-	6	10	10		0.00	0.27
5/02	N	Hockaday SG	9-	7	2	1		0.00	0.89
5/10	N	Episcopal, Dallas	13-	7	6	6		0.00	-0.39
5/11	N	Hockaday SG	12-	13	-1	1	–	0.00	-2.11
									0.00	-9.53

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/21	A	Westchester-Stratford	16-	2	3.55
2/23	H	Kingwood Club (White)	12-	0	7.96
2/26	H	Klein	16-	2	1.51
3/04	H	The Woodlands	16-	3	0.48
3/11	H	Lamar	17-	6	1.49
3/15	A	Vero Beach	2-	13	1.00
3/26	H	Bellaire	16-	3	-3.00
4/04	A	St. Andrew's Episcopal	13-	2	-0.51
4/04	N	Neuqua Valley	14-	2	0.88
4/08	H	Kinkaid School	14-	3	0.31
4/15	A	Clear Lake	17-	4	-1.73
5/01	N	Kinkaid School	16-	6	-0.27
10-goal correction: 0.49

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	185
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	82.47		Natl Power Rank	185
Natl SOS Rating	68.08		Natl SOS Rank	540
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.75		Natl Quality Win Rank	285
W-L Pct Rating	0.88		W-L Pct Rank	112
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	21-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	7-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.1
Wins/Losses (top 20)	17-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	8.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.3


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