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St. Johnsbury Academy Hilltoppers (6-10)

Region: VT DII

State: VT

Coach: Jane Connolly

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/23	RANDOLPH UNION, VT (13-5)	VT DII	67.8		L	5-	9		-0.175
4/25	at U-32 (7-9)	VT DII	61.2		W	7-	1		0.350
4/28	at BFA-St. Albans (7-7)	VT DII	65.9		L	3-	7		-0.050
5/01	at Montpelier (6-7)	VT DII	61.0		L	5-	8		-0.175
5/03	OXBOW UNION (3-13)	VT DII	58.5		W	13-	2		0.150
5/06	MONTPELIER (6-7)	VT DII	61.0		W	10-	8	ot	0.225
5/08	at Chelsea (16-1)	VT DII	73.6	7	L	0-	19		0.000
5/09	at Oxbow Union (3-13)	VT DII	58.5		L	8-	18		-0.250
5/10	at Hartford (8-8)	VT DII	67.2		L	9-	16		-0.050
5/13	HARWOOD UNION CLUB (0-0)	VT Indep	25.6			-
5/13	SHARON ACADEMY (2-7)	VT DII	57.8		W	9-	5		0.150
5/16	at Lamouille Union (1-11)	VT DII	58.2		W	12-	10		0.275
5/20	at Rice Memorial (3-11)	VT DII	59.1		W	9-	7		0.300
5/23	at Randolph Union, VT (13-5)	VT DII	67.8		L	5-	11		-0.075
5/27	U-32 (7-9)	VT DII	61.2		L	5-	7		-0.250
5/30	at BFA-St. Albans (7-7)	VT DII	65.9		L	5-	18		-0.050
6/04	at Sharon Academy (2-7)	VT DII	57.8		L	5-	13		-0.275
			62.6						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/23	H	Randolph Union, VT	5-	9	-4	-3		-1.98	-0.61
4/25	A	U-32	7-	1	6	-4	+++	1.98	9.67
4/28	A	BFA-St. Albans	3-	7	-4	-8	++	1.98	4.37
5/01	A	Montpelier	5-	8	-3	-3		1.98	-0.33
5/03	H	Oxbow Union	13-	2	11	4	+++	-1.98	6.93
5/06	H	Montpelier	10-	8	2	1		-1.98	0.70
5/08	A	Chelsea	0-	19	-19	-15	–	1.98	-3.57
5/09	A	Oxbow Union	8-	18	-10	0	–––	1.98	10.10
5/10	A	Hartford	9-	16	-7	-8		1.98	1.06
5/13	H	Sharon Academy	9-	5	4	4		-1.98	-0.49
5/16	A	Lamouille Union	12-	10	2	-1	+	1.98	2.81
5/20	A	Rice Memorial	9-	7	2	-2	+	1.98	3.64
5/23	A	Randolph Union, VT	5-	11	-6	-7		1.98	1.36
5/27	H	U-32	5-	7	-2	0	–	-1.98	-2.30
5/30	A	BFA-St. Albans	5-	18	-13	-8	––	1.98	-4.63
6/04	A	Sharon Academy	5-	13	-8	1	–––	1.98	-8.52
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/03	H	Oxbow Union	13-	2	-1.00
5/08	A	Chelsea	0-	19	3.57
5/09	A	Oxbow Union	8-	18	0.00
5/30	A	BFA-St. Albans	5-	18	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.35

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	60.		Natl CCR Rank	1790
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	59.90		Natl Power Rank	1790
Natl SOS Rating	49.34		Natl SOS Rank	1977
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	896
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1348
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-3.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	2-8		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-7.7


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