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St. Mark's, MA Lions (4-11)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Ashley McDowell

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	CUSHING ACADEMY (10-5)	NE	73.0		W	18-	5		0.125
4/05	MIDDLESEX SCHOOL (9-4)	NE	82.5	9	L	6-	13		-0.125
4/09	at Rivers School (6-8)	NE	75.3		L	8-	10		-0.225
4/12	at Buckingham, B & N (9-7)	NE	77.5		L	13-	16		-0.175
4/16	LAWRENCE ACADEMY (2-13)	NE	69.1		W	12-	7		0.100
4/19	ST. GEORGE'S SCHOOL, R (13-4)	NE	81.4	10	L	10-	14		-0.175
4/23	at Brooks School (15-1)	NE	87.3	3	L	7-	12		0.000
4/26	GOVERNOR'S ACADEMY (11-4)	NE	83.3	7	L	3-	17		-0.100
4/30	at Pomfret School (9-6)	NE	74.4		L	8-	10		-0.250
5/03	at Noble & Greenough (16-0)	NE	88.4	1	L	9-	17		0.000
5/07	THAYER ACADEMY (15-3)	NE	85.9	5	L	9-	16		-0.050
5/10	at Milton Academy (4-13)	NE	72.1		W	16-	15	2ot	0.250
5/14	at Tabor Academy (1-13)	NE	67.9		W	13-	8		0.100
5/21	at St. Paul's School, NH (4-10)	NE	74.0		L	9-	12		-0.225
5/23	at Groton School (7-9)	NE	75.0		L	12-	13	ot	-0.225
			81.0						-0.98

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Cushing Academy	18-	5	13	5	+++	-1.05	8.11
4/05	H	Middlesex School	6-	13	-7	-5		-1.05	-1.59
4/09	A	Rivers School	8-	10	-2	-1		1.05	-1.25
4/12	A	Buckingham, B & N	13-	16	-3	-3		1.05	0.13
4/16	H	Lawrence Academy	12-	7	5	6		-1.05	-1.18
4/19	H	St. George's School, R	10-	14	-4	-3		-1.05	-0.53
4/23	A	Brooks School	7-	12	-5	-10	++	1.05	5.07
4/26	H	Governor's Academy	3-	17	-14	-6	–––	-1.05	-7.59
4/30	A	Pomfret School	8-	10	-2	0		1.05	-1.78
5/03	A	Noble & Greenough	9-	17	-8	-10	+	1.05	2.24
5/07	H	Thayer Academy	9-	16	-7	-8		-1.05	0.71
5/10	A	Milton Academy	16-	15	1	0		1.05	0.67
5/14	A	Tabor Academy	13-	8	5	6		1.05	-1.09
5/21	A	St. Paul's School, NH	9-	12	-3	-1		1.05	-1.72
5/23	A	Groton School	12-	13	-1	-1		1.05	-0.21
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Cushing Academy	18-	5	-3.00
4/26	H	Governor's Academy	3-	17	4.00
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	746
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.13		Natl Power Rank	746
Natl SOS Rating	77.79		Natl SOS Rank	141
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.98		Natl Quality Win Rank	2230
W-L Pct Rating	0.27		W-L Pct Rank	1568
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	4-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-6.7
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-8.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-6.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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