High School Computer Ratings

St. Mary's Acad, OR Blues (19-0)

Region: OR PIL

State: OR

Coach: Holly Ziegler

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score			COR
3/11	at Sherwood, OR (7-9)	OR NW	61.1		W	9-	3	0.000
3/12	WEST LINN (9-7)	OR TRL	69.4	8	W	17-	9	0.125
4/02	ALOHA (3-13)	OR Metro	56.3		W	18-	0	0.000
4/04	at Oregon City (15-3)	OR TRL	76.6	2	W	11-	10	0.300
4/08	GRANT (5-11)	OR PIL	62.3		W	17-	3	0.000
4/10	at Lincoln, OR (13-5)	OR PIL	70.1	7	W	14-	7	0.100
4/14	at Wilson, OR (9-7)	OR PIL	68.6	10	W	9-	8	0.125
4/16	OREGON EPISCOPAL SCHOO (11-6)	OR PIL	68.2		W	19-	9	0.050
4/23	CLEVELAND (1-15)	OR PIL	55.1		W	19-	4	0.000
4/25	at Oregon Episcopal Schoo (11-6)	OR PIL	68.2		W	15-	10	0.075
4/26	at Roseburg (6-9)	OR South	57.7		W	17-	4	0.000
4/26	at Thurston (1-15)	OR South	45.9		W	17-	0	0.000
4/28	at Grant (5-11)	OR PIL	62.3		W	17-	2	0.000
4/30	WILSON, OR (9-7)	OR PIL	68.6	10	W	15-	8	0.100
5/07	LINCOLN, OR (13-5)	OR PIL	70.1	7	W	17-	5	0.100
5/09	at Cleveland (1-15)	OR PIL	55.1		W	16-	1	0.000
5/16	LAKERIDGE (12-6)	OR TRL	71.0	5	W	10-	7	0.175
5/20	vs. Oregon City # (15-3)	OR TRL	76.6	2	W	14-	10	0.300
5/22	vs. Lake Oswego # (17-2)	OR TRL	75.9	3	W	16-	10	1.225
# Neutral site			67.4					2.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/11	A	Sherwood, OR	9-	3	6	14	–––	0.42	-7.72
3/12	H	West Linn	17-	9	8	5	+	-0.42	3.01
4/02	H	Aloha	18-	0	18	17		-0.42	0.91
4/04	A	Oregon City	11-	10	1	-2	+	0.42	2.96
4/08	H	Grant	17-	3	14	12	+	-0.42	2.03
4/10	A	Lincoln, OR	14-	7	7	6		0.42	1.43
4/14	A	Wilson, OR	9-	8	1	5	––	0.42	-4.32
4/16	H	Oregon Episcopal Schoo	19-	9	10	8		-0.42	1.70
4/23	H	Cleveland	19-	4	15	18	–	-0.42	-3.07
4/25	A	Oregon Episcopal Schoo	15-	10	5	7	–	0.42	-2.46
4/26	A	Roseburg	17-	4	13	16	–	0.42	-3.49
4/26	A	Thurston	17-	0	17	26	–––	0.42	-9.21
4/28	A	Grant	17-	2	15	11	+	0.42	3.87
4/30	H	Wilson, OR	15-	8	7	6		-0.42	0.84
5/07	H	Lincoln, OR	17-	5	12	6	++	-0.42	5.60
5/09	A	Cleveland	16-	1	15	17	–	0.42	-2.23
5/16	H	Lakeridge	10-	7	3	3		-0.42	-0.28
5/20	N	Oregon City	14-	10	4	-2	++	0.00	5.54
5/22	N	Lake Oswego	16-	10	6	1	++	0.00	4.90
									0.00	0.00