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St. Ursula, Toledo Arrows (16-2)

Region: OH NW-D2

State: OH

Coach: Paul Sieben

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Perrysburg Club (4-6)	OH N-D2	61.3		W	16-	3		0.000
4/05	at Mentor (7-9)	OH N-D2	70.7		W	11-	3		0.175
4/05	vs. Lake Catholic # (13-3)	OH N-D2	74.5		W	12-	11		0.275
4/08	at Bedford (0-5)	OH Indep	50.2		W	22-	1		0.000
4/11	at Notre Dame Acad, OH (10-6)	OH NW-D2	64.9		W	23-	3		0.000
4/12	vs. Barrington, IL # (9-8)	IL N Sub	67.5		W	4-	1		0.075
4/12	vs. St. Charles Co-op # (10-10)	IL DuPage	66.4		W	14-	7		0.025
4/17	at Maumee Valley CDS (3-5)	OH NW-D2	61.7		W	19-	2		0.000
4/19	at Hawken School (9-11)	OH N-D1	73.7		W	11-	10		0.300
4/19	vs. Jackson, Massillon # (8-8)	OH Indep	71.3		W	10-	9		0.175
4/20	at Beaumont School (6-11)	OH N-D2	68.4		W	12-	9		0.100
4/24	at Ottawa Hills Club (1-6)	OH No Club	55.6		W	20-	3		0.000
4/26	MAGNIFICAT (14-6)	OH N-D1	77.1		L	5-	12		-0.150
4/30	at Sylvania Club (2-4)	OH No Club	60.3		W	24-	7		0.000
5/03	vs. Manual # (19-5)	KY	74.2		W	7-	4		0.225
5/12	at Perrysburg Club (4-6)	OH N-D2	61.3		W	16-	3		0.000
5/17	at Maumee Valley CDS (3-5)	OH NW-D2	61.7		W	19-	8		0.000
5/22	REVERE (6-3)	OH N-D2	74.1		L	11-	13		-0.250
# Neutral site			63.9						0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Perrysburg Club	16-	3	13	14		0.76	-1.42
4/05	A	Mentor	11-	3	8	3	++	0.76	4.88
4/05	N	Lake Catholic	12-	11	1	-1		0.00	1.58
4/08	A	Bedford	22-	1	21	24	–	0.76	-2.62
4/11	A	Notre Dame Acad, OH	23-	3	20	13	+++	0.76	6.95
4/12	N	Barrington, IL	4-	1	3	7	––	0.00		-4.38
4/12	N	St. Charles Co-op	14-	7	7	9		0.00		-1.52
4/17	A	Maumee Valley CDS	19-	2	17	14	+	0.76	2.51
4/19	A	Hawken School	11-	10	1	-2	+	0.76	3.30
4/19	N	Jackson, Massillon	10-	9	1	3		0.00	-1.69
4/20	A	Beaumont School	12-	9	3	6	–	0.76	-2.74
4/24	A	Ottawa Hills Club	20-	3	17	19		0.76	-1.56
4/26	H	Magnificat	5-	12	-7	-4	–	-0.76	-3.36
4/30	A	Sylvania Club	24-	7	17	16		0.76	1.21
5/03	N	Manual	7-	4	3	1	+	0.00		2.29
5/12	A	Perrysburg Club	16-	3	13	14		0.76	-1.42
5/17	A	Maumee Valley CDS	19-	8	11	14	–	0.76	-3.49
5/22	H	Revere	11-	13	-2	0	–	-0.76	-2.14
									0.00	-3.61

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Perrysburg Club	16-	3	1.42
4/08	A	Bedford	22-	1	2.62
4/11	A	Notre Dame Acad, OH	23-	3	-6.95
4/17	A	Maumee Valley CDS	19-	2	-2.51
4/24	A	Ottawa Hills Club	20-	3	1.56
4/30	A	Sylvania Club	24-	7	-1.21
5/12	A	Perrysburg Club	16-	3	1.42
5/17	A	Maumee Valley CDS	19-	8	3.49
10-goal correction: -0.01

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	614
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	74.88		Natl Power Rank	614
Natl SOS Rating	52.07		Natl SOS Rank	1791
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	174
W-L Pct Rating	0.89		W-L Pct Rank	97
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	16-2		Ave Goal diff (all )	8.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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