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Summit, NJ Hilltoppers (15-6)

Region: NJ IronState: NJCoach: Rob Grella

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02at Immaculata (3-15)NJ CJ Cen66.4W13- 1 0.025  
4/03at Randolph, NJ (2-13)NJ Iron67.8W10- 2 0.100  
4/05WEST MORRIS CENTRAL (16-7)NJ Iron82.5W8- 7 0.250  
4/08at Roxbury (13-8)NJ Iron78.8W7- 6 0.275  
4/10at Mendham (21-3)NJ Iron88.94L2-13 -0.050  
4/15CHATHAM (23-3)NJ Iron90.23L6-17 -0.150  
4/17at Columbia, NJ (13-7)NJ Iron79.2W10- 6 0.275  
4/19at Oak Knoll School (20-3)NJ CJ Lgn87.06L7-10 -0.125  
4/22MORRIS HILLS (0-15)NJ Indep60.1W14- 0 0.000  
4/24at Morris Knolls (9-9)NJ Indep73.6W7- 6 0.175  
4/29UNION CATHOLIC (0-11)NJ Indep59.3W15- 1 0.000  
5/01at Livingston (1-13)NJ Iron63.2W15- 1 0.000  
5/03MT. OLIVE (6-10)NJ Iron68.4W17- 4 0.000  
5/06MORRISTOWN (8-9)NJ Iron73.3W16-13 0.100  
5/10vs. Governor Livingston # (13-7)NJ CJ Lgn69.4W17- 6 0.025  
5/12MILLBURN (10-8)NJ NHC72.1W16- 6 0.075  
5/14at West Essex (17-3)NJ Iron86.97L8-13 -0.075  
5/15VILLA WALSH ACADEMY (4-12)NJ NHC67.3W18- 8 0.000  
5/17at Kent Place SG (15-5)NJ CJ Lgn81.2L10-13 -0.225  
5/19at Rumson-Fair Haven (14-4)NJ SC B84.4L8-14 -0.100  
5/22at Morristown-Beard (7-10)NJ CJ Lgn69.5W21-14 0.100  
# Neutral site 80.5     0.67  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02AImmaculata13-112   9       +1.82       3.29
4/03ARandolph, NJ10-28   6       +1.82       2.43
4/05HWest Morris Central8-71   0       -1.82       1.05
4/08ARoxbury7-61   -1       1.82       1.52
4/10AMendham2-13-11   -8       1.82       -3.12
4/15HChatham6-17-11   -4       –––-1.82       -6.88
4/17AColumbia, NJ10-64   -1       ++1.82       4.74
4/19AOak Knoll School7-10-3   -5       +1.82       2.25
4/22HMorris Hills14-014   18       -1.82       -3.65
4/24AMorris Knolls7-61   3       1.82       -1.68
4/29HUnion Catholic15-114   19       ––-1.82       -4.85
5/01ALivingston15-114   11       +1.82       3.14
5/03HMt. Olive17-413   12       -1.82       1.00
5/06HMorristown16-133   6       -1.82       -3.08
5/10NGovernor Livingston17-611   9       0.00       1.63
5/12HMillburn16-610   7       +-1.82       2.81
5/14AWest Essex8-13-5   -7       1.82       1.65
5/15HVilla Walsh Academy18-810   11       -1.82       -1.34
5/17AKent Place SG10-13-3   -1       1.82       -1.70
5/19ARumson-Fair Haven8-14-6   -6       1.82       -0.22
5/22AMorristown-Beard21-147   6       1.82       1.03
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/02AImmaculata13-1-2.00
4/10AMendham2-131.00
4/15HChatham6-171.00
4/22HMorris Hills14-03.65
4/29HUnion Catholic15-14.85
5/01ALivingston15-1-3.14
5/03HMt. Olive17-4-1.00
5/10NGovernor Livingston17-6-1.00
5/12HMillburn16-60.00
5/15HVilla Walsh Academy18-81.34
10-goal correction: 0.22

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 81.   Natl CCR Rank 249
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 80.89   Natl Power Rank 249
Natl SOS Rating 77.21   Natl SOS Rank 157
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.67   Natl Quality Win Rank 324
W-L Pct Rating 0.71   W-L Pct Rank 429
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-6   Ave Goal diff (all ) 4.0
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-4   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -7.5
Wins/Losses (top 20) 1-6   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -5.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -0.7



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