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2009
2008
2007
2006
2005

Swartz Creek Dragons (6-9)

Region: MI DII

State: MI

Coach: Brian Gilbert

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/25	at Waverly-LC-GL United (12-6)	MI DI	64.3		L	9-	16		-0.075
3/26	at Flushing Club (1-5)	MI Club	54.9		W	10-	3		0.225
4/07	at Clarkston (1-11)	MI DI	48.9		W	14-	1		0.025
4/09	POWERS CATHOLIC (14-5)	MI DII	68.9	8	L	1-	14		0.000
4/10	at Hartland (3-15)	MI DII	53.5		W	12-	5		0.175
4/14	CARMAN-AINSWORTH (3-4)	MI DII	55.5		W	13-	5		0.150
4/15	OKEMOS (15-2)	MI DII	72.4	4	L	3-	14		0.000
4/21	EAST LANSING (6-7)	MI DII	59.9		L	6-	10		-0.225
4/23	ANN ARBOR-HURON (5-7)	MI DI	63.2		L	5-	16		-0.125
4/29	at Holt (2-11)	MI DI	54.0		W	8-	7		0.200
4/30	at Carman-Ainsworth (3-4)	MI DII	55.5		L	4-	11		-0.300
5/12	GRAND BLANC (11-6)	MI DI	61.1		L	6-	11		-0.225
5/16	at Flushing Club (1-5)	MI Club	54.9		W	9-	8		0.225
5/20	CATHOLIC CENTRAL (11-4)	MI DII	67.3		L	8-	10		-0.050
5/28	vs. Powers Catholic # (14-5)	MI DII	68.9	8	L	6-	12		0.000
# Neutral site			62.1						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	A	Waverly-LC-GL United	9-	16	-7	-7		1.10	-0.02
3/26	A	Flushing Club	10-	3	7	1	++	1.37		5.98
4/07	A	Clarkston	14-	1	13	9	+	1.10	3.88
4/09	H	Powers Catholic	1-	14	-13	-11	–	-1.10	-2.40
4/10	A	Hartland	12-	5	7	3	++	1.10	4.27
4/14	H	Carman-Ainsworth	13-	5	8	4	++	-1.10	4.29
4/15	H	Okemos	3-	14	-11	-12		-1.10	1.35
4/21	H	East Lansing	6-	10	-4	-1	–	-1.10	-3.46
4/23	H	Ann Arbor-Huron	5-	16	-11	-5	–––	-1.10	-6.42
4/29	A	Holt	8-	7	1	2		1.10	-0.76
4/30	A	Carman-Ainsworth	4-	11	-7	2	–––	1.10	-8.51
5/12	H	Grand Blanc	6-	11	-5	-1	–	-1.10	-3.93
5/16	A	Flushing Club	9-	8	1	1		1.37		-0.02
5/20	H	Catholic Central	8-	10	-2	-8	+++	-1.10	6.02
5/28	N	Powers Catholic	6-	12	-6	-12	++	0.00	5.70
									0.00	5.97

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	Clarkston	14-	1	-3.00
4/09	H	Powers Catholic	1-	14	2.40
4/15	H	Okemos	3-	14	-1.35
4/23	H	Ann Arbor-Huron	5-	16	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	57.		Natl CCR Rank	1902
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	57.32		Natl Power Rank	1902
Natl SOS Rating	49.30		Natl SOS Rank	1982
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.00		Natl Quality Win Rank	1028
W-L Pct Rating	0.40		W-L Pct Rank	1272
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-9		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-8.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3

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