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Tatnall School Hornets (6-10)

Region: DE DISC

State: DE

Coach: Ruth Hiller

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	at Tower Hill School (15-4)	DE DISC	84.7	1	L	2-	19		0.000
4/03	WESTTOWN SCHOOL (6-4)	PA Friend	76.8		L	6-	15		-0.075
4/04	ST. ANDREW'S, DE (13-4)	DE DISC	82.5	3	L	2-	14		0.000
4/07	at Wilmington Friends (6-10)	DE DISC	72.2	9	L	10-	16		-0.150
4/09	ARCHMERE ACADEMY (2-14)	DE Cath	62.6		W	15-	12		0.175
4/15	SANFORD SCHOOL, DE (3-11)	DE DISC	69.0		L	5-	16		-0.200
4/16	at Caesar Rodney (9-7)	DE Henlop	71.0		L	6-	12		-0.225
4/22	TOWER HILL SCHOOL (15-4)	DE DISC	84.7	1	L	7-	20		0.000
4/24	WILMINGTON FRIENDS (6-10)	DE DISC	72.2	9	W	13-	12	ot	0.325
4/30	at Sanford School, DE (3-11)	DE DISC	69.0		W	13-	12		0.325
5/02	CAESAR RODNEY (9-7)	DE Henlop	71.0		W	15-	9		0.250
5/05	at Ursuline Academy, DE (10-5)	DE Cath	73.1	8	L	12-	16		-0.175
5/06	at Dover (9-7)	DE Henlop	67.7		W	14-	8		0.225
5/08	at Cape Henlopen (15-2)	DE Henlop	82.9	2	L	3-	19		0.000
5/10	ST. ANDREW'S, DE (13-4)	DE DISC	82.5	3	L	2-	14		0.000
5/15	at Archmere Academy (2-14)	DE Cath	62.6		W	16-	14		0.200
			74.0						0.67

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Tower Hill School	2-	19	-17	-16		0.75	-1.02
4/03	H	Westtown School	6-	15	-9	-7	–	-1.20		-2.50
4/04	H	St. Andrew's, DE	2-	14	-12	-12		-0.75	0.20
4/07	A	Wilmington Friends	10-	16	-6	-4		0.75	-1.99
4/09	H	Archmere Academy	15-	12	3	3		-0.75	-0.33
4/15	H	Sanford School, DE	5-	16	-11	-2	–––	-0.75	-9.13
4/16	A	Caesar Rodney	6-	12	-6	-1	––	0.75	-4.60
4/22	H	Tower Hill School	7-	20	-13	-14		-0.75	1.48
4/24	H	Wilmington Friends	13-	12	1	-3	+	-0.75	3.51
4/30	A	Sanford School, DE	13-	12	1	-3	++	0.75	4.37
5/02	H	Caesar Rodney	15-	9	6	0	++	-0.75	5.89
5/05	A	Ursuline Academy, DE	12-	16	-4	-3		0.75	-0.75
5/06	A	Dover	14-	8	6	1	++	0.75	4.89
5/08	A	Cape Henlopen	3-	19	-16	-13	–	0.75	-2.91
5/10	H	St. Andrew's, DE	2-	14	-12	-12		-0.75	0.20
5/15	A	Archmere Academy	16-	14	2	2		0.75	0.18
									0.00	-2.50

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	A	Tower Hill School	2-	19	1.02
4/04	H	St. Andrew's, DE	2-	14	-0.20
4/15	H	Sanford School, DE	5-	16	1.00
4/22	H	Tower Hill School	7-	20	-1.48
5/08	A	Cape Henlopen	3-	19	2.91
5/10	H	St. Andrew's, DE	2-	14	-0.20
10-goal correction: 0.19

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1052
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.13		Natl Power Rank	1052
Natl SOS Rating	66.08		Natl SOS Rank	658
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.67		Natl Quality Win Rank	320
W-L Pct Rating	0.38		W-L Pct Rank	1329
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	6-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.9
Wins/Losses (top 20)	6-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-8.7


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