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ThunderRidge Grizzlies (2-10 - 2)

Region: CO Contin

State: CO

Coach: A. Gilbertson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	at Cheyenne Mountain (10-5)	CO Southn	77.4		T	9-	9		0.000
3/11	at Grandview (5-8)	CO Centen	72.3		L	9-	11		-0.200
3/13	at Wheat Ridge (5-6)	CO Jeffco	71.8			-
3/15	LIBERTY, CO (9-5)	CO Southn	77.4		L	7-	13		-0.200
3/27	at Douglas County, CO (4-11)	CO Contin	66.7		L	6-	7		-0.300
3/28	at Smoky Hill (8-8)	CO Centen	77.6		L	11-	13		-0.075
4/01	RANGEVIEW (0-10)	CO Contin	52.3		W	19-	0		0.000
4/02	at Ralston Valley (8-6)	CO Jeffco	75.3		L	6-	14		-0.150
4/08	CHAPARRAL, CO (9-7)	CO Contin	78.4	7	L	7-	16		-0.100
4/11	at Heritage-Littleton (16-3)	CO Contin	81.9	3	L	5-	17		0.000
4/15	at Regis Jesuit (8-8)	CO Contin	77.7		L	13-	15		-0.075
4/17	ARAPAHOE (13-5)	CO Contin	80.4	5	L	6-	15		-0.050
4/19	at Dakota Ridge (8-6)	CO Jeffco	72.0		T	9-	9		0.000
4/21	COLUMBINE (10-6)	CO Jeffco	74.9		L	11-	14		-0.250
4/23	CHERRY CREEK CLUB (10-3)	CO Indep	76.8		W	9-	7		0.250
			67.6						-1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	A	Cheyenne Mountain	9-	9	0	-2	+	0.82	2.38
3/11	A	Grandview	9-	11	-2	-2		0.82	-0.50
3/15	H	Liberty, CO	7-	13	-6	-2	–	-0.82	-3.59
3/27	A	Douglas County, CO	6-	7	-1	2	–	0.82	-3.11
3/28	A	Smoky Hill	11-	13	-2	-7	++	0.82	4.83
4/01	H	Rangeview	19-	0	19	17		-0.82	1.90
4/02	A	Ralston Valley	6-	14	-8	-4	––	0.82	-4.12
4/08	H	Chaparral, CO	7-	16	-9	-6	–	-0.82	-2.88
4/11	A	Heritage-Littleton	5-	17	-12	-13		0.82	0.56
4/15	A	Regis Jesuit	13-	15	-2	-7	++	0.82	4.51
4/17	H	Arapahoe	6-	15	-9	-8		-0.82	-0.67
4/19	A	Dakota Ridge	9-	9	0	-1		0.82	1.15
4/21	H	Columbine	11-	14	-3	0	–	-0.82	-2.79
4/23	H	Cherry Creek Club	9-	7	2	0	+	-0.82	2.33
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Rangeview	19-	0	-1.90
4/11	A	Heritage-Littleton	5-	17	-0.56
10-goal correction: -0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1053
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	69.17		Natl Power Rank	1053
Natl SOS Rating	56.21		Natl SOS Rank	1422
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.15		Natl Quality Win Rank	2268
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	1681
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	2-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-0.3


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