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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

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Thurston Colts (1-15)

Region: OR SouthState: ORCoach: Diane Ray

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/11at Sheldon (11-6)OR South63.2L3-15 0.000  
3/13WEST SALEM (2-12)OR South49.8L5-10 -0.200  
3/19ROSEBURG (6-9)OR South57.7L0-12 -0.025  
4/01MARIST, OR (6-9)OR South56.8W1- 0 0.500  
4/05at Glencoe (9-8)OR NW65.8L1-17 0.000  
4/05at Sherwood, OR (7-9)OR NW61.1L2-16 0.000  
4/08SOUTH EUGENE (6-8)OR South59.0L4-15 0.000  
4/12GRANT (5-11)OR PIL62.3L0-17 0.000  
4/12WESTVIEW, OR (14-4)OR Metro69.39L1-14 0.000  
4/17at Roseburg (6-9)OR South57.7L3-12 0.000  
4/22at West Salem (2-12)OR South49.8L1-14 -0.175  
4/24SHELDON (11-6)OR South63.2L1-11 0.000  
4/26OREGON EPISCOPAL SCHOO (11-6)OR PIL68.2L0-14 0.000  
4/26ST. MARY'S ACAD, OR (19-0)OR PIL78.41L0-17 0.000  
4/30at South Eugene (6-8)OR South59.0L1-13 0.000  
5/02at Marist, OR (6-9)OR South56.8L0-17 0.000  
 62.8     0.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/11ASheldon3-15-12   -14       0.42       1.56
3/13HWest Salem5-10-5   -2       -0.42       -2.67
3/19HRoseburg0-12-12   -9       -0.42       -2.69
4/05AGlencoe1-17-16   -17       0.42       0.89
4/05ASherwood, OR2-16-14   -13       0.42       -1.09
4/08HSouth Eugene4-15-11   -11       -0.42       0.12
4/12HGrant0-17-17   -15       -0.42       -2.34
4/12HWestview, OR1-14-13   -18       ++-0.42       5.30
4/17ARoseburg3-12-9   -10       0.42       1.15
4/22AWest Salem1-14-13   -3       –––0.42       -9.83
4/24HSheldon1-11-10   -13       +-0.42       2.72
4/26HOregon Episcopal Schoo0-14-14   -18       ++-0.42       4.34
4/26HSt. Mary's Acad, OR0-17-17   -26       +++-0.42       9.21
4/30ASouth Eugene1-13-12   -12       0.42       -0.05
5/02AMarist, OR0-17-17   -10       –––0.42       -6.63
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/11ASheldon3-15-1.56
3/19HRoseburg0-122.00
4/05AGlencoe1-17-0.89
4/05ASherwood, OR2-161.09
4/08HSouth Eugene4-15-0.12
4/12HGrant0-172.34
4/12HWestview, OR1-14-5.30
4/22AWest Salem1-143.00
4/24HSheldon1-11-2.72
4/26HOregon Episcopal Schoo0-14-4.34
4/26HSt. Mary's Acad, OR0-17-9.21
4/30ASouth Eugene1-130.05
5/02AMarist, OR0-177.00
10-goal correction: -0.58

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 45.   Natl CCR Rank 2199
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 45.87   Natl Power Rank 2199
Natl SOS Rating 50.18   Natl SOS Rank 1940
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 903
W-L Pct Rating 0.06   W-L Pct Rank 1983
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 1-15   Ave Goal diff (all ) -12.8
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -15.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-10   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -13.6
Wins/Losses (last 3) 0-3   Ave Goal diff (last 3) -15.3



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