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Toms River North Mariners (13-7)

Region: NJ SC A S

State: NJ

Coach: Kathy Leighty

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Toms River South (8-8)	NJ SC A S	69.8		L	11-	12		-0.325
4/05	SHORE REGIONAL (20-2)	NJ SC B	88.9	5	L	0-	19		-0.050
4/07	TOMS RIVER EAST (7-11)	NJ SC A S	66.7		W	9-	5		0.000
4/09	at Jackson Memorial, NJ (16-3)	NJ SC A S	79.3		L	10-	12		-0.125
4/11	BRICK MEMORIAL (7-10)	NJ SC A S	65.4		W	14-	7		0.000
4/14	at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)	NJ SC B	69.5		W	18-	7		0.150
4/16	at Southern Regional (10-8)	NJ SC A S	69.5		W	20-	17		0.175
4/18	BRICK TOWNSHIP (3-13)	NJ SC A S	61.8		W	18-	3		0.000
4/21	TOMS RIVER SOUTH (8-8)	NJ SC A S	69.8		W	10-	8		0.075
4/23	at Toms River East (7-11)	NJ SC A S	66.7		W	18-	7		0.075
4/25	JACKSON MEMORIAL, NJ (16-3)	NJ SC A S	79.3		L	9-	11		-0.200
4/28	at Brick Memorial (7-10)	NJ SC A S	65.4		W	19-	5		0.025
4/30	at Jackson Liberty (5-5)	NJ Indep	67.5		W	16-	11		0.125
5/02	SOUTHERN REGIONAL (10-8)	NJ SC A S	69.5		W	21-	13		0.100
5/05	at Brick Township (3-13)	NJ SC A S	61.8		W	14-	2		0.000
5/07	at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)	NJ SC B	69.5		W	13-	10		0.150
5/09	at Rumson-Fair Haven (14-4)	NJ SC B	84.4		L	6-	14		-0.025
5/14	at Red Bank Catholic (15-4)	NJ SC A N	76.9		L	12-	13		-0.225
5/20	at Washington Township (11-6)	NJ OC Ame	78.1		W	18-	14		0.325
5/22	at Lenape (15-6)	NJ OC Ame	78.5		L	9-	11		-0.150
			77.6						0.10

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Toms River South	11-	12	-1	3	––	1.82	-4.30
4/05	H	Shore Regional	0-	19	-19	-8	–––	-1.82	10.97
4/07	H	Toms River East	9-	5	4	11	–––	-1.82	-6.68
4/09	A	Jackson Memorial, NJ	10-	12	-2	-5	+	1.82	3.24
4/11	H	Brick Memorial	14-	7	7	12	––	-1.82	-5.25
4/14	A	Monsignor Donovan	18-	7	11	4	+++	1.82	7.21
4/16	A	Southern Regional	20-	17	3	3		1.82	0.13
4/18	H	Brick Township	18-	3	15	15		-1.82	0.45
4/21	H	Toms River South	10-	8	2	7	––	-1.82	-4.93
4/23	A	Toms River East	18-	7	11	7	+	1.82	3.95
4/25	H	Jackson Memorial, NJ	9-	11	-2	-2		-1.82	-0.40
4/28	A	Brick Memorial	19-	5	14	9	++	1.82	5.38
4/30	A	Jackson Liberty	16-	11	5	5		1.82	-0.18
5/02	H	Southern Regional	21-	13	8	6		-1.82	1.50
5/05	A	Brick Township	14-	2	12	11		1.82	1.08
5/07	A	Monsignor Donovan	13-	10	3	4		1.82	-0.79
5/09	A	Rumson-Fair Haven	6-	14	-8	-9		1.82	1.28
5/14	A	Red Bank Catholic	12-	13	-1	-1		1.82	-0.03
5/20	A	Washington Township	18-	14	4	-3	+++	1.82	7.35
5/22	A	Lenape	9-	11	-2	-4		1.82	1.94
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/05	H	Shore Regional	0-	19	9.00
4/14	A	Monsignor Donovan	18-	7	-1.00
4/18	H	Brick Township	18-	3	-0.45
4/23	A	Toms River East	18-	7	-1.00
4/28	A	Brick Memorial	19-	5	-4.00
5/05	A	Brick Township	14-	2	-1.08
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	559
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.53		Natl Power Rank	559
Natl SOS Rating	71.81		Natl SOS Rank	342
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.10		Natl Quality Win Rank	893
W-L Pct Rating	0.65		W-L Pct Rank	594
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	13-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-13.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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