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Toms River North Mariners (13-7)

Region: NJ SC A SState: NJCoach: Kathy Leighty

Team Page Links:  •  2009  •  2008  •  2007  •  2006  •  2005  •

DateOpponentConferencePRRankScore COR
4/02at Toms River South (8-8)NJ SC A S69.8L11-12 -0.325  
4/05SHORE REGIONAL (20-2)NJ SC B88.95L0-19 -0.050  
4/07TOMS RIVER EAST (7-11)NJ SC A S66.7W9- 5 0.000  
4/09at Jackson Memorial, NJ (16-3)NJ SC A S79.3L10-12 -0.125  
4/11BRICK MEMORIAL (7-10)NJ SC A S65.4W14- 7 0.000  
4/14at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)NJ SC B69.5W18- 7 0.150  
4/16at Southern Regional (10-8)NJ SC A S69.5W20-17 0.175  
4/18BRICK TOWNSHIP (3-13)NJ SC A S61.8W18- 3 0.000  
4/21TOMS RIVER SOUTH (8-8)NJ SC A S69.8W10- 8 0.075  
4/23at Toms River East (7-11)NJ SC A S66.7W18- 7 0.075  
4/25JACKSON MEMORIAL, NJ (16-3)NJ SC A S79.3L9-11 -0.200  
4/28at Brick Memorial (7-10)NJ SC A S65.4W19- 5 0.025  
4/30at Jackson Liberty (5-5)NJ Indep67.5W16-11 0.125  
5/02SOUTHERN REGIONAL (10-8)NJ SC A S69.5W21-13 0.100  
5/05at Brick Township (3-13)NJ SC A S61.8W14- 2 0.000  
5/07at Monsignor Donovan (10-5)NJ SC B69.5W13-10 0.150  
5/09at Rumson-Fair Haven (14-4)NJ SC B84.4L6-14 -0.025  
5/14at Red Bank Catholic (15-4)NJ SC A N76.9L12-13 -0.225  
5/20at Washington Township (11-6)NJ OC Ame78.1W18-14 0.325  
5/22at Lenape (15-6)NJ OC Ame78.5L9-11 -0.150  
 77.6     0.10  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
4/02AToms River South11-12-1   3       ––1.82       -4.30
4/05HShore Regional0-19-19   -8       –––-1.82       -10.97
4/07HToms River East9-54   11       –––-1.82       -6.68
4/09AJackson Memorial, NJ10-12-2   -5       +1.82       3.24
4/11HBrick Memorial14-77   12       ––-1.82       -5.25
4/14AMonsignor Donovan18-711   4       +++1.82       7.21
4/16ASouthern Regional20-173   3       1.82       0.13
4/18HBrick Township18-315   15       -1.82       0.45
4/21HToms River South10-82   7       ––-1.82       -4.93
4/23AToms River East18-711   7       +1.82       3.95
4/25HJackson Memorial, NJ9-11-2   -2       -1.82       -0.40
4/28ABrick Memorial19-514   9       ++1.82       5.38
4/30AJackson Liberty16-115   5       1.82       -0.18
5/02HSouthern Regional21-138   6       -1.82       1.50
5/05ABrick Township14-212   11       1.82       1.08
5/07AMonsignor Donovan13-103   4       1.82       -0.79
5/09ARumson-Fair Haven6-14-8   -9       1.82       1.28
5/14ARed Bank Catholic12-13-1   -1       1.82       -0.03
5/20AWashington Township18-144   -3       +++1.82       7.35
5/22ALenape9-11-2   -4       1.82       1.94
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
4/05HShore Regional0-199.00
4/14AMonsignor Donovan18-7-1.00
4/18HBrick Township18-3-0.45
4/23AToms River East18-7-1.00
4/28ABrick Memorial19-5-4.00
5/05ABrick Township14-2-1.08
10-goal correction: 0.07

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 75.   Natl CCR Rank 559
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 75.53   Natl Power Rank 559
Natl SOS Rating 71.81   Natl SOS Rank 342
Natl Quality Win Rating 0.10   Natl Quality Win Rank 893
W-L Pct Rating 0.65   W-L Pct Rank 594
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 13-7   Ave Goal diff (all ) 3.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -19.0
Wins/Losses (top 10) 0-1   Ave Goal diff (top 10) -19.0
Wins/Losses (top 20) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 20) -13.5
Wins/Losses (last 3) 1-2   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 0.3



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