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Torrey Pines Falcons (17-7)

Region: CA CIF S

State: CA

Coach: Amanda Bourquin

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/06	LA JOLLA HS (14-9)	CA CIF S	75.1		W	10-	4		0.125
3/10	at Coronado (23-2)	CA CIF S	84.4	2	L	5-	13		-0.125
3/14	KINKAID SCHOOL (12-13)	TX South	71.1		W	13-	5		0.025
3/15	EL TORO (7-10)	CA CIF S	67.5		W	12-	0		0.000
3/25	at Bishop's School (12-6)	CA CIF S	72.4		W	14-	9		0.125
3/26	HOLTON-ARMS SCHOOL (8-10)	DC ISL A	83.5		L	11-	12	ot	-0.175
3/29	vs. La Jolla HS # (14-9)	CA CIF S	75.1		W	16-	3		0.150
3/29	vs. Patrick Henry, CA # (7-14)	CA CIF S	68.4		W	13-	3		0.050
3/29	vs. Poway # (11-11)	CA CIF S	77.3	5	W	9-	6		0.250
4/02	at Francis Parker School (13-6)	CA CIF S	73.7		W	9-	3		0.150
4/15	at Westview, CA (15-5)	CA CIF S	75.6	8	L	7-	11		-0.300
4/18	at Mt. Carmel, CA (9-11)	CA CIF S	69.0		W	6-	3		0.075
4/22	VALLEY CENTER (8-11)	CA CIF S	68.9		W	13-	5		0.050
4/23	LA COSTA CANYON (23-0)	CA CIF S	88.0	1	L	6-	15		-0.150
4/25	ST. IGNATIUS PREP, CA (15-3)	CA CCS	82.7		L	8-	10		-0.175
4/29	FALLBROOK (0-8)	CA CIF S	64.5		W	14-	0		0.000
4/30	at San Dieguito Academy (6-13)	CA CIF S	67.8		W	13-	9		0.025
5/02	RANCHO BERNARDO (8-9)	CA CIF S	71.5		W	15-	7		0.100
5/05	POWAY (11-11)	CA CIF S	77.3	5	W	1-	0		0.250
5/06	at Carlsbad (10-9)	CA CIF S	72.3		W	9-	6		0.150
5/09	at La Costa Canyon (23-0)	CA CIF S	88.0	1	L	7-	11		-0.125
5/17	BISHOP'S SCHOOL (12-6)	CA CIF S	72.4		W	13-	6		0.075
5/20	POWAY (11-11)	CA CIF S	77.3	5	W	12-	11		0.250
5/22	at La Costa Canyon (23-0)	CA CIF S	88.0	1	L	6-	10		-0.125
# Neutral site			80.1						0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/06	H	La Jolla HS	10-	4	6	5		-0.93	1.29
3/10	A	Coronado	5-	13	-8	-5	–	0.93	-2.56
3/14	H	Kinkaid School	13-	5	8	9		-1.25		-0.81
3/15	H	El Toro	12-	0	12	10		-0.93	1.64
3/25	A	Bishop's School	14-	9	5	5		0.93	0.15
3/26	H	Holton-Arms School	11-	12	-1	-3	+	-1.49		2.37
3/29	N	La Jolla HS	16-	3	13	4	+++	0.00	9.22
3/29	N	Patrick Henry, CA	13-	3	10	8		0.00	1.74
3/29	N	Poway	9-	6	3	0	+	0.00	3.44
4/02	A	Francis Parker School	9-	3	6	4	+	0.93	2.40
4/15	A	Westview, CA	7-	11	-4	2	––	0.93	-5.89
4/18	A	Mt. Carmel, CA	6-	3	3	7	–	0.93	-3.87
4/22	H	Valley Center	13-	5	8	8		-0.93	-0.28
4/23	H	La Costa Canyon	6-	15	-9	-4	––	-0.93	-5.48
4/25	H	St. Ignatius Prep, CA	8-	10	-2	-3		-0.98		1.06
4/29	H	Fallbrook	14-	0	14	16		-0.93	-1.94
4/30	A	San Dieguito Academy	13-	9	4	9	––	0.93	-4.52
5/02	H	Rancho Bernardo	15-	7	8	6	+	-0.93	2.10
5/06	A	Carlsbad	9-	6	3	4		0.93	-0.99
5/09	A	La Costa Canyon	7-	11	-4	-5		0.93	1.38
5/17	H	Bishop's School	13-	6	7	7		-0.93	0.30
5/20	H	Poway	12-	11	1	0		-0.93	0.51
5/22	A	La Costa Canyon	6-	10	-4	-5		0.93	1.38
									0.00	2.62

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/15	H	El Toro	12-	0	-1.64
3/29	N	La Jolla HS	16-	3	-3.00
3/29	N	Patrick Henry, CA	13-	3	0.00
4/29	H	Fallbrook	14-	0	1.94
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	78.		Natl CCR Rank	359
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	78.65		Natl Power Rank	359
Natl SOS Rating	76.34		Natl SOS Rank	188
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	288
W-L Pct Rating	0.71		W-L Pct Rank	443
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	17-7		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	3-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	3-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	10-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	1.3


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