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Tower Hill School Hillers (15-4)

Region: DE DISC

State: DE

Coach: Wiz Applegate

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/01	TATNALL SCHOOL (6-10)	DE DISC	69.1		W	19-	2		0.000
4/03	WILMINGTON FRIENDS (6-10)	DE DISC	72.2	9	W	18-	5		0.000
4/04	at Hill School (7-7)	PA Indep	78.9		W	9-	6		0.125
4/08	at Sanford School, DE (3-11)	DE DISC	69.0		W	16-	4		0.000
4/10	EPISCOPAL ACADEMY, PA (16-4)	PA IAC	87.7		L	9-	13		-0.200
4/12	CAPE HENLOPEN (15-2)	DE Henlop	82.9	2	W	14-	3		0.150
4/15	ARCHMERE ACADEMY (2-14)	DE Cath	62.6		W	17-	1		0.000
4/18	ST. ANDREW'S, DE (13-4)	DE DISC	82.5	3	W	8-	6		0.175
4/19	WESTTOWN SCHOOL (6-4)	PA Friend	76.8		W	15-	7		0.025
4/22	at Tatnall School (6-10)	DE DISC	69.1		W	20-	7		0.000
4/24	CAESAR RODNEY (9-7)	DE Henlop	71.0		W	17-	1		0.000
4/26	vs. Strath Haven # (18-4)	PA Centrl	89.2		L	8-	16		-0.125
4/29	ST. MARK'S, DE (15-3)	DE Cath	82.0	4	L	10-	11		-0.325
5/02	SANFORD SCHOOL, DE (3-11)	DE DISC	69.0		W	16-	4		0.000
5/06	at St. Andrew's, DE (13-4)	DE DISC	82.5	3	L	6-	11		-0.300
5/13	at Wilmington Friends (6-10)	DE DISC	72.2	9	W	18-	8		0.000
5/19	CHARTER SCHOOL (14-3)	DE BluHen	78.3	5	W	19-	6		0.025
5/21	vs. St. Mark's, DE # (15-3)	DE Cath	82.0	4	W	11-	8		0.200
5/23	vs. St. Andrew's, DE # (13-4)	DE DISC	82.5	3	W	8-	2		1.200
# Neutral site			76.1						0.95

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	H	Tatnall School	19-	2	17	16		-0.75	1.02
4/03	H	Wilmington Friends	18-	5	13	13		-0.75	0.28
4/04	A	Hill School	9-	6	3	5		1.20		-1.57
4/08	A	Sanford School, DE	16-	4	12	12		0.75	0.14
4/10	H	Episcopal Academy, PA	9-	13	-4	-2	–	-1.20		-2.17
4/12	H	Cape Henlopen	14-	3	11	4	+++	-0.75	7.35
4/15	H	Archmere Academy	17-	1	16	19	–	-0.75	-2.56
4/18	H	St. Andrew's, DE	8-	6	2	3		-0.75	-1.03
4/19	H	Westtown School	15-	7	8	9		-1.20		-1.06
4/22	A	Tatnall School	20-	7	13	14		0.75	-1.48
4/24	H	Caesar Rodney	17-	1	16	15		-0.75	0.66
4/26	N	Strath Haven	8-	16	-8	-5	–	0.00		-3.49
4/29	H	St. Mark's, DE	10-	11	-1	3	–	-0.75	-3.85
5/02	H	Sanford School, DE	16-	4	12	13		-0.75	-1.36
5/06	A	St. Andrew's, DE	6-	11	-5	2	–––	0.75	-6.52
5/13	A	Wilmington Friends	18-	8	10	11		0.75	-1.22
5/19	H	Charter School	19-	6	13	9	+	-0.75	3.95
5/21	N	St. Mark's, DE	11-	8	3	2		0.00	0.90
5/23	N	St. Andrew's, DE	8-	2	6	2	+	0.00	3.72
									0.00	-8.30

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/01	H	Tatnall School	19-	2	-1.02
4/03	H	Wilmington Friends	18-	5	-0.28
4/08	A	Sanford School, DE	16-	4	-0.14
4/12	H	Cape Henlopen	14-	3	-1.00
4/15	H	Archmere Academy	17-	1	2.56
4/22	A	Tatnall School	20-	7	1.48
4/24	H	Caesar Rodney	17-	1	-0.66
5/02	H	Sanford School, DE	16-	4	1.36
5/13	A	Wilmington Friends	18-	8	1.22
5/19	H	Charter School	19-	6	-3.00
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	85.		Natl CCR Rank	118
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.70		Natl Power Rank	118
Natl SOS Rating	69.38		Natl SOS Rank	476
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.95		Natl Quality Win Rank	171
W-L Pct Rating	0.79		W-L Pct Rank	243
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	15-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	7.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	4.1
Wins/Losses (top 10)	7-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	5.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	13-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	9.2
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	7.3


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