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Troy-Athens Red Hawks (8-6 - 1)

Region: MI DI

State: MI

Coach: Rob Holder

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	DETROIT COUNTRY DAY (9-9)	MI DII	67.4		W	15-	13		0.300
4/09	BLOOMFIELD HILLS-MARIA (11-4)	MI DI	73.5	2	L	8-	20		-0.050
4/12	at Brighton, MI (12-6)	MI DI	65.5		L	12-	17		-0.175
4/14	at Grosse Pointe South (8-7)	MI DI	69.0	7	L	5-	14		-0.075
4/18	FARMINGTON HILLS-MERCY (3-9)	MI DII	64.9		T	10-	10		0.000
4/21	CLARKSTON (1-11)	MI DI	48.9		W	17-	1		0.000
4/23	at Okemos (15-2)	MI DII	72.4	4	L	4-	15		-0.050
4/25	TROY (7-6)	MI DI	63.4		W	7-	6		0.175
4/28	at Farmington HS, MI (8-5)	MI DII	59.1		W	19-	6		0.125
5/12	at Troy (7-6)	MI DI	63.4		W	13-	12		0.225
5/13	LIVONIA-LADYWOOD, MI (5-9)	MI DII	57.7		W	14-	4		0.125
5/19	BIRMINGHAM UNITED (17-5)	MI DI	76.3	1	L	5-	18		-0.050
5/21	GROSSE POINTE SOUTH (8-7)	MI DI	69.0	7	W	11-	10		0.350
5/28	GROSSE POINTE NORTH (6-7)	MI DI	62.6		W	15-	12		0.175
5/30	BIRMINGHAM UNITED (17-5)	MI DI	76.3	1	L	4-	15		-0.050
			68.0						1.02

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Detroit Country Day	15-	13	2	-2	++	-1.10	4.43
4/09	H	Bloomfield Hills-Maria	8-	20	-12	-8	––	-1.10	-4.40
4/12	A	Brighton, MI	12-	17	-5	-3	–	1.10	-2.01
4/14	A	Grosse Pointe South	5-	14	-9	-7	–	1.10	-2.36
4/18	H	Farmington Hills-Mercy	10-	10	0	-1		-1.10	0.93
4/21	H	Clarkston	17-	1	16	18	–	-1.10	-2.08
4/23	A	Okemos	4-	15	-11	-8	–	1.10	-3.21
4/25	H	Troy	7-	6	1	3		-1.10	-2.00
4/28	A	Farmington HS, MI	19-	6	13	5	+++	1.10	7.80
5/12	A	Troy	13-	12	1	1		1.10	0.20
5/13	H	Livonia-Ladywood, MI	14-	4	10	5	++	-1.10	4.58
5/19	H	Birmingham United	5-	18	-13	-8	––	-1.10	-4.60
5/21	H	Grosse Pointe South	11-	10	1	-4	++	-1.10	5.44
5/28	H	Grosse Pointe North	15-	12	3	3		-1.10	-0.13
5/30	H	Birmingham United	4-	15	-11	-8	–	-1.10	-2.60
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/09	H	Bloomfield Hills-Maria	8-	20	2.00
4/21	H	Clarkston	17-	1	2.08
4/23	A	Okemos	4-	15	1.00
4/28	A	Farmington HS, MI	19-	6	-3.00
5/13	H	Livonia-Ladywood, MI	14-	4	0.00
5/19	H	Birmingham United	5-	18	3.00
5/30	H	Birmingham United	4-	15	1.00
10-goal correction: 0.41

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	66.		Natl CCR Rank	1332
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	65.86		Natl Power Rank	1332
Natl SOS Rating	57.14		Natl SOS Rank	1347
Natl Quality Win Rating	1.02		Natl Quality Win Rank	154
W-L Pct Rating	0.57		W-L Pct Rank	826
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	8-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	-0.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-11.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-5.1
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.3


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