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Tuscarora Titans (3-11)

Region: MD 1A

State: MD

Coach: Frank Serna

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/24	SMITHSBURG (9-5)	MD 1A	75.8		L	3-	15		-0.050
3/31	CATOCTIN (3-10)	MD 1A	69.2		W	11-	9		0.300
4/03	at Brunswick, MD (4-9)	MD 1A	69.8		L	9-	10	2ot	-0.125
4/05	ST. JOHNS CATHOLIC PRE (5-12)	MD IAAM B	71.4		L	6-	10		-0.150
4/07	vs. Laney # (8-7)	NC SE	64.2		L	3-	6		-0.325
4/10	at North Carroll (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2		L	0-	26		0.000
4/14	LINGANORE (6-7)	MD 3A	75.7		L	0-	18		-0.025
4/16	at Urbana (9-6)	MD 3A	81.9		L	0-	16		0.000
4/21	WESTMINSTER, MD (13-5)	MD 4A	86.8		L	4-	18		0.000
4/23	THOMAS JOHNSON (6-7)	MD 4A	75.5		L	7-	17		-0.025
4/28	FREDERICK (2-10)	MD 3A	64.6			-
5/01	at Middletown, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	78.5		L	1-	15		0.000
5/05	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (1-11)	MD 2A	60.0		W	13-	8		0.075
5/08	JOHN F. KENNEDY, MD (2-9)	MD 3A	65.3		W	7-	5		0.200
5/10	at Damascus (8-4)	MD 4A	76.0		L	5-	12		0.000
# Neutral site			71.9						-0.12

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/24	H	Smithsburg	3-	15	-12	-8	–	-0.99	-3.99
3/31	H	Catoctin	11-	9	2	-2	+	-0.99	3.94
4/03	A	Brunswick, MD	9-	10	-1	-5	+	0.99	3.52
4/05	H	St. Johns Catholic Pre	6-	10	-4	-4		-0.85		-0.31
4/07	N	Laney	3-	6	-3	3	––	0.00		-5.69
4/10	A	North Carroll	0-	26	-26	-19	–––	0.99	-7.48
4/14	H	Linganore	0-	18	-18	-9	–––	-0.99	-8.75
4/16	A	Urbana	0-	16	-16	-20	++	0.99	4.24
4/21	H	Westminster, MD	4-	18	-14	-23	+++	-0.99	8.80
4/23	H	Thomas Johnson	7-	17	-10	-9		-0.99	-1.29
5/01	A	Middletown, MD	1-	15	-14	-14		0.99	-0.30
5/05	H	North Hagerstown	13-	8	5	7		-0.99	-1.93
5/08	H	John F. Kennedy, MD	7-	5	2	2		-0.99	-0.21
5/10	A	Damascus	5-	12	-7	-10	+	0.99	3.46
									0.00	-6.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/24	H	Smithsburg	3-	15	2.00
4/10	A	North Carroll	0-	26	7.48
4/14	H	Linganore	0-	18	8.00
4/16	A	Urbana	0-	16	-4.24
4/21	H	Westminster, MD	4-	18	-8.80
4/23	H	Thomas Johnson	7-	17	0.00
5/01	A	Middletown, MD	1-	15	0.30
10-goal correction: 0.34

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1286
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	66.90		Natl Power Rank	1286
Natl SOS Rating	63.02		Natl SOS Rank	907
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.12		Natl Quality Win Rank	1314
W-L Pct Rating	0.21		W-L Pct Rank	1686
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-8.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0

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