High School Computer Ratings

Ursuline Academy, TX Bears (16-8)

Region: TX North

State: TX

Coach: Lori Wales

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
1/27	TRINITY, TX (9-5)	TX North	74.7	8	L	17-	18		-0.250
2/10	at Southlake Carroll (1-12)	TX North	64.4		W	9-	3		0.125
2/10	COPPELL (2-12)	TX North	63.7		W	9-	3		0.000
2/13	at Highland Park, TX (12-5)	TX North	74.8	7	L	7-	10		-0.150
2/16	vs. Lamar # (6-11)	TX South	69.2		W	8-	6		0.200
2/20	at Dallas Club (6-11)	TX North	68.1		W	16-	15	ot	0.175
2/23	CADDO MAGNET (0-9)	TX North	58.3		W	19-	2		0.000
2/24	at Coppell (2-12)	TX North	63.7		W	12-	4		0.075
3/04	at Hockaday SG (19-2)	TX North	82.8	1	L	9-	18		-0.025
3/12	at Southlake Carroll (1-12)	TX North	64.4		W	18-	11		0.125
3/26	at Greenhill School (1-4)	TX Indep	65.9		W	13-	5		0.100
3/29	SOUTHLAKE CARROLL (1-12)	TX North	64.4		W	15-	6		0.050
4/01	EPISCOPAL, DALLAS (15-6)	TX North	75.8	6	L	11-	18		-0.225
4/05	vs. C.E. Byrd HS # (7-6)	TX North	71.0		W	18-	11		0.200
4/07	at Highland Park, TX (12-5)	TX North	74.8	7	L	12-	16		-0.150
4/13	TRINITY, TX (9-5)	TX North	74.7	8	L	10-	14		-0.250
4/16	at Coppell (2-12)	TX North	63.7		W	19-	5		0.075
4/19	DALLAS CLUB (6-11)	TX North	68.1		W	16-	10		0.100
4/21	at Hockaday SG (19-2)	TX North	82.8	1	L	2-	16		-0.025
4/26	vs. Coppell # (2-12)	TX North	63.7		W	17-	6		0.025
4/27	vs. C.E. Byrd HS # (7-6)	TX North	71.0		L	8-	9		-0.300
5/10	vs. Kinkaid School # (12-13)	TX South	71.1		W	9-	8		0.225
5/10	vs. St. Michael's Acad # (5-1)	TX Cen D2	60.5		W	17-	3		0.000
5/11	vs. C.E. Byrd HS # (7-6)	TX North	71.0		W	11-	8		1.200
# Neutral site			70.4						1.30

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
1/27	H	Trinity, TX	17-	18	-1	0		-1.58	-0.97
2/10	A	Southlake Carroll	9-	3	6	5		1.58	1.21
2/10	H	Coppell	9-	3	6	10	––	-1.58	-4.26
2/13	A	Highland Park, TX	7-	10	-3	-4		1.58	0.68
2/16	N	Lamar	8-	6	2	2		0.00	0.03
2/20	A	Dallas Club	16-	15	1	3		1.58	-1.58
2/23	H	Caddo Magnet	19-	2	17	15		-1.58	1.90
2/24	A	Coppell	12-	4	8	7		1.58	0.90
3/04	A	Hockaday SG	9-	18	-9	-9		1.58	0.40
3/12	A	Southlake Carroll	18-	11	7	5	+	1.58	2.21
3/26	A	Greenhill School	13-	5	8	6	+	1.58	2.33
3/29	H	Southlake Carroll	15-	6	9	8		-1.58	1.06
4/01	H	Episcopal, Dallas	11-	18	-7	-1	–––	-1.58	-6.03
4/05	N	C.E. Byrd HS	18-	11	7	2	++	0.00	5.31
4/07	A	Highland Park, TX	12-	16	-4	-4		1.58	-0.32
4/13	H	Trinity, TX	10-	14	-4	0	–	-1.58	-3.97
4/16	A	Coppell	19-	5	14	7	+++	1.58	6.90
4/19	H	Dallas Club	16-	10	6	6		-1.58	0.26
4/21	A	Hockaday SG	2-	16	-14	-9	––	1.58	-4.60
4/26	N	Coppell	17-	6	11	9	+	0.00	2.32
4/27	N	C.E. Byrd HS	8-	9	-1	2	–	0.00	-2.69
5/10	N	Kinkaid School	9-	8	1	1		0.00	0.20
5/10	N	St. Michael's Acad	17-	3	14	17	–	0.00	-2.60
5/11	N	C.E. Byrd HS	11-	8	3	2		0.00	1.31
									0.00	0.00