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Urbana Hawks (9-6 - 1)

Region: MD 3A

State: MD

Coach: Sally Watsic

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/22	vs. Old Mill # (4-10)	MD 4A	77.7		W	10-	9		0.150
3/24	vs. Annapolis # (11-6)	MD 3A	82.9		T	7-	7		0.000
3/31	at Walkersville (9-7)	MD 2A	78.8		W	19-	8		0.175
4/03	CENTURY, MD (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	L	2-	16		-0.075
4/08	at Westminster, MD (13-5)	MD 4A	86.8		L	13-	18		-0.100
4/10	at Sts. Stephen's & Agnes (26-0)	DC ISL A	98.7		L	2-	17		0.000
4/14	NORTH HARFORD (9-8)	MD 2A	84.0		L	4-	10		-0.200
4/16	TUSCARORA (3-11)	MD 1A	66.9		W	16-	0		0.000
4/18	at Liberty, MD (15-2)	MD 2A	90.4	4	L	4-	19		-0.050
4/22	NORTH CARROLL (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2		W	14-	9		0.175
4/24	at Linganore (6-7)	MD 3A	75.7		W	17-	6		0.050
4/30	THOMAS JOHNSON (6-7)	MD 4A	75.5		W	21-	5		0.000
5/05	MIDDLETOWN, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	78.5		W	13-	7		0.050
5/13	vs. Magruder # (1-9)	MD 4A	69.2		W	22-	2		0.000
5/14	at Quince Orchard (12-2)	MD 4A	80.5		W	16-	10		0.175
5/15	at Westminster, MD (13-5)	MD 4A	86.8		L	10-	16		-0.100
# Neutral site			81.7						0.25

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/22	N	Old Mill	10-	9	1	4	–	0.00	-3.01
3/24	N	Annapolis	7-	7	0	-2		0.00	1.63
3/31	A	Walkersville	19-	8	11	3	+++	0.99	8.14
4/03	H	Century, MD	2-	16	-14	-7	–––	-0.99	-7.27
4/08	A	Westminster, MD	13-	18	-5	-6		0.99	0.53
4/10	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	2-	17	-15	-18	+	1.52		3.24
4/14	H	North Harford	4-	10	-6	-2	––	-0.99	-4.10
4/16	H	Tuscarora	16-	0	16	20	––	-0.99	-4.24
4/18	A	Liberty, MD	4-	19	-15	-8	–––	0.99	-6.59
4/22	H	North Carroll	14-	9	5	3	+	-0.99	2.29
4/24	A	Linganore	17-	6	11	8	+	0.99	2.98
4/30	H	Thomas Johnson	21-	5	16	11	++	-0.99	5.46
5/05	H	Middletown, MD	13-	7	6	8		-0.99	-1.54
5/13	N	Magruder	22-	2	20	16	+	0.00	3.57
5/14	A	Quince Orchard	16-	10	6	3	+	0.99	2.62
5/15	A	Westminster, MD	10-	16	-6	-6		0.99	-0.47
									0.00	3.24

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/31	A	Walkersville	19-	8	-1.00
4/03	H	Century, MD	2-	16	4.00
4/10	A	Sts. Stephen's & Agnes	2-	17	-3.24
4/16	H	Tuscarora	16-	0	4.24
4/18	A	Liberty, MD	4-	19	5.00
4/24	A	Linganore	17-	6	-1.00
4/30	H	Thomas Johnson	21-	5	-5.46
5/13	N	Magruder	22-	2	-3.57
10-goal correction: -0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	82.		Natl CCR Rank	216
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.95		Natl Power Rank	216
Natl SOS Rating	79.78		Natl SOS Rank	92
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.25		Natl Quality Win Rank	713
W-L Pct Rating	0.59		W-L Pct Rank	767
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	6.7


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