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Valley Regional Warriors (5-11)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	FITCH (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		L	9-	13		-0.200
4/03	at West Haven (6-10)	CT Div 2	68.6		L	5-	13		-0.125
4/07	at Ledyard (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		W	12-	9		0.250
4/08	OLD SAYBROOK (1-14)	CT Div 2	57.5		W	12-	1		0.100
4/10	at Haddam-Killingworth (4-9)	CT Div 2	65.3		W	11-	10		0.275
4/21	at Old Lyme (15-4)	CT Div 2	74.6		L	11-	17		-0.025
4/23	MORGAN SCHOOL (11-5)	CT Div 2	72.5		L	9-	17		-0.100
4/30	NORTH BRANFORD (10-6)	CT Div 2	70.7		L	8-	14		-0.175
5/01	at Old Saybrook (1-14)	CT Div 2	57.5		W	15-	8		0.150
5/05	HADDAM-KILLINGWORTH (4-9)	CT Div 2	65.3		L	14-	15		-0.250
5/07	at Wheeler, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		L	8-	18		-0.125
5/10	OLD LYME (15-4)	CT Div 2	74.6		L	8-	20		-0.050
5/13	at Morgan School (11-5)	CT Div 2	72.5		L	7-	15		-0.075
5/15	at North Branford (10-6)	CT Div 2	70.7		W	15-	9		0.375
5/22	WHEELER, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		L	12-	16		-0.175
5/23	at Waterford, CT (5-10)	CT Div 2	64.6		L	5-	11		-0.225
			62.5						-0.37

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Fitch	9-	13	-4	-2	–	-0.81	-2.19
4/03	A	West Haven	5-	13	-8	-5	–	0.81	-2.89
4/07	A	Ledyard	12-	9	3	0	+	0.81	3.27
4/08	H	Old Saybrook	12-	1	11	6	++	-0.81	4.96
4/10	A	Haddam-Killingworth	11-	10	1	-1	+	0.81	2.20
4/21	A	Old Lyme	11-	17	-6	-9	+	0.81	3.31
4/23	H	Morgan School	9-	17	-8	-6	–	-0.81	-2.34
4/30	H	North Branford	8-	14	-6	-3	–	-0.81	-2.54
5/01	A	Old Saybrook	15-	8	7	4	+	0.81	2.57
5/05	H	Haddam-Killingworth	14-	15	-1	0		-0.81	-1.41
5/07	A	Wheeler, CT	8-	18	-10	-5	––	0.81	-5.30
5/10	H	Old Lyme	8-	20	-12	-8	––	-0.81	-4.30
5/13	A	Morgan School	7-	15	-8	-7		0.81	-0.72
5/15	A	North Branford	15-	9	6	-5	+++	0.81	11.08
5/22	H	Wheeler, CT	12-	16	-4	-3		-0.81	-0.91
5/23	A	Waterford, CT	5-	11	-6	-1	––	0.81	-4.80
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	Old Saybrook	12-	1	-1.00
5/07	A	Wheeler, CT	8-	18	0.00
5/10	H	Old Lyme	8-	20	2.00
10-goal correction: 0.06

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	64.		Natl CCR Rank	1482
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.14		Natl Power Rank	1482
Natl SOS Rating	49.32		Natl SOS Rank	1981
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.37		Natl Quality Win Rank	1706
W-L Pct Rating	0.31		W-L Pct Rank	1458
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-11		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.8
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 10)
Wins/Losses (2nd 10)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 20)
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-1.3


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