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Vestal Golden Bears (3-12)

Region: NY B Sec 4

State: NY

Coach: Kelly O'Brien

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/28	HORSEHEADS (6-8)	NY B Sec 4	74.2	6	W	11-	10		0.250
4/02	CORNING WEST (10-6)	NY A Sec 4	75.4	5	L	10-	12		-0.225
4/05	at Union-Endicott (11-6)	NY B Sec 4	75.9	4	L	4-	8		-0.175
4/09	at Johnson City (3-14)	NY C Sec 4	71.8		W	13-	4		0.025
4/11	SETON CATHOLIC CENTRAL (2-11)	NY C Sec 4	72.3	10	W	17-	5		0.025
4/15	BINGHAMTON (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1	L	7-	10		-0.150
4/21	at Corning East (14-7)	NY C Sec 4	76.8	3	L	8-	11		-0.150
4/28	ITHACA (13-8)	NY A Sec 4	77.1	2	L	9-	15		-0.150
4/30	at Maine-Endwell (5-11)	NY B Sec 4	73.9	7	L	6-	7		-0.250
5/02	MARCELLUS (17-5)	NY C Sec 3	85.1		L	8-	15		0.000
5/05	at Binghamton (15-4)	NY A Sec 4	77.6	1	L	6-	16		-0.100
5/09	at Horseheads (6-8)	NY B Sec 4	74.2	6	L	7-	8		-0.200
5/15	at Corning West (10-6)	NY A Sec 4	75.4	5	L	7-	8	2ot	-0.175
5/19	UNION-ENDICOTT (11-6)	NY B Sec 4	75.9	4	L	6-	8		-0.200
5/28	at Union-Endicott (11-6)	NY B Sec 4	75.9	4	L	10-	13		-0.175
			74.3						-1.65

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/28	H	Horseheads	11-	10	1	0		-0.93	1.27
4/02	H	Corning West	10-	12	-2	-1		-0.93	-0.86
4/05	A	Union-Endicott	4-	8	-4	-3		0.93	-0.56
4/09	A	Johnson City	13-	4	9	9		0.93	-0.49
4/11	H	Seton Catholic Central	17-	5	12	9	+	-0.93	2.76
4/15	H	Binghamton	7-	10	-3	-4		-0.93	1.03
4/21	A	Corning East	8-	11	-3	-4		0.93	1.26
4/28	H	Ithaca	9-	15	-6	-4	–	-0.93	-2.09
4/30	A	Maine-Endwell	6-	7	-1	0		0.93	-1.38
5/02	H	Marcellus	8-	15	-7	-10	+	-0.92		3.47
5/05	A	Binghamton	6-	16	-10	-6	––	0.93	-4.11
5/09	A	Horseheads	7-	8	-1	-2		0.93	1.14
5/15	A	Corning West	7-	8	-1	-3	+	0.93	2.01
5/19	H	Union-Endicott	6-	8	-2	-2		-0.93	-0.43
5/28	A	Union-Endicott	10-	13	-3	-3		0.93	0.44
									0.00	3.47

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/11	H	Seton Catholic Central	17-	5	-2.00
5/05	A	Binghamton	6-	16	0.00
10-goal correction: -0.13

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	74.		Natl CCR Rank	689
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.74		Natl Power Rank	689
Natl SOS Rating	66.07		Natl SOS Rank	659
Natl Quality Win Rating	-1.65		Natl Quality Win Rank	2296
W-L Pct Rating	0.20		W-L Pct Rank	1717
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-12		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.8
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-11		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-11		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.0


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