| Region: NC East | State: NC | Coach: M. Michaels |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/29 | GREEN HOPE (13-6) | NC East | 71.3 | 4 | L | 10- | 20 | | -0.175 |
3/03 | BROUGHTON (14-3) | NC East | 70.9 | 6 | L | 14- | 18 | | -0.200 |
3/06 | ENLOE (7-7) | NC East | 65.5 | | W | 20- | 19 | | 0.225 |
3/11 | at Middle Creek (5-9) | NC East | 63.3 | | W | 13- | 9 | | 0.175 |
3/14 | at New Hanover (1-10) | NC SE | 58.6 | | W | 14- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/15 | at Ashley (8-7) | NC SE | 65.8 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.250 |
3/15 | at Hoggard (11-3) | NC SE | 69.6 | 8 | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.275 |
3/18 | at Apex (19-3) | NC East | 79.6 | 1 | L | 5- | 16 | | 0.000 |
3/27 | RIVERSIDE, NC (0-13) | NC E Cen | 57.9 | | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.000 |
4/08 | at Athens Drive (3-11) | NC East | 61.2 | | W | 18- | 8 | | 0.100 |
4/11 | CARY (0-10) | NC East | 57.8 | | W | 15- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/14 | PANTHER CREEK (3-12) | NC East | 60.5 | | W | 17- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/18 | at Enloe (7-7) | NC East | 65.5 | | W | 20- | 18 | | 0.250 |
4/21 | ATHENS DRIVE (3-11) | NC East | 61.2 | | W | 19- | 11 | | 0.075 |
4/24 | CHAPEL HILL (13-8) | NC E Cen | 69.2 | 9 | W | 18- | 13 | | 0.275 |
4/30 | EAST CHAPEL HILL (14-4) | NC E Cen | 74.6 | 3 | L | 4- | 15 | | -0.075 |
5/05 | at Green Hope (13-6) | NC East | 71.3 | 4 | L | 12- | 17 | | -0.150 |
| | 65.9 | | | | | | 1.02 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/29 | H | Green Hope | 10- | 20 | -10 | -3 | ––– | -0.39 | -6.73 | |
3/03 | H | Broughton | 14- | 18 | -4 | -2 | – | -0.39 | -2.04 | |
3/06 | H | Enloe | 20- | 19 | 1 | 1 | | -0.39 | 0.32 | |
3/11 | A | Middle Creek | 13- | 9 | 4 | 3 | | 0.39 | 1.07 | |
3/14 | A | New Hanover | 14- | 4 | 10 | 12 | – | 0.39 | -2.14 | |
3/15 | A | Ashley | 11- | 9 | 2 | 0 | | 0.39 | 1.60 | |
3/15 | A | Hoggard | 12- | 10 | 2 | -1 | + | 0.39 | 3.28 | |
3/18 | A | Apex | 5- | 16 | -11 | -12 | | 0.39 | 0.93 | |
3/27 | H | Riverside, NC | 13- | 6 | 7 | 12 | –– | -0.39 | -5.39 | |
4/08 | A | Athens Drive | 18- | 8 | 10 | 6 | + | 0.39 | 3.75 | |
4/11 | H | Cary | 15- | 2 | 13 | 12 | | -0.39 | 0.56 | |
4/14 | H | Panther Creek | 17- | 5 | 12 | 11 | | -0.39 | 0.98 | |
4/18 | A | Enloe | 20- | 18 | 2 | 0 | + | 0.39 | 2.09 | |
4/21 | H | Athens Drive | 19- | 11 | 8 | 7 | | -0.39 | 0.97 | |
4/24 | H | Chapel Hill | 18- | 13 | 5 | -1 | ++ | -0.39 | 5.84 | |
4/30 | H | East Chapel Hill | 4- | 15 | -11 | -7 | –– | -0.39 | -4.15 | |
5/05 | A | Green Hope | 12- | 17 | -5 | -4 | | 0.39 | -0.95 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/29 | H | Green Hope | 10- | 20 | 0.00 |
3/14 | A | New Hanover | 14- | 4 | 2.14 |
3/18 | A | Apex | 5- | 16 | -0.93 |
4/08 | A | Athens Drive | 18- | 8 | 0.00 |
4/11 | H | Cary | 15- | 2 | -0.56 |
4/14 | H | Panther Creek | 17- | 5 | -0.98 |
4/30 | H | East Chapel Hill | 4- | 15 | 1.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.04 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 68. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1155 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 68.47 | | Natl Power Rank | 1155 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 54.12 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1613 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 1.02 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 157 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.71 | | W-L Pct Rank | 455 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 12-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.1 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -4.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.9 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
|
