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Waterford, CT Lancers (5-10)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/07	at Norwich Free Acad (7-8)	CT Div 1	69.9		L	9-	19		-0.125
4/10	EAST LYME (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		L	0-	18		0.000
4/15	STONINGTON (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		L	6-	9		-0.150
4/22	at Stonington (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		L	8-	14		-0.125
4/24	at Wheeler, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		L	10-	20		-0.150
4/25	OLD SAYBROOK (1-14)	CT Div 2	57.5		W	13-	3		0.100
4/30	at Ledyard (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		L	7-	8		-0.250
5/06	at Fitch (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		L	7-	8		-0.175
5/12	LEDYARD (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		W	14-	9		0.200
5/13	ST. BERNARD, CT (11-6)	CT Div 2	72.2		L	8-	14		-0.125
5/15	WHEELER, CT (9-8)	CT Div 2	68.8		L	6-	9		-0.175
5/17	MORGAN SCHOOL (11-5)	CT Div 2	72.5		L	4-	8		-0.125
5/19	at Old Saybrook (1-14)	CT Div 2	57.5		W	10-	6		0.125
5/21	WOODSTOCK ACADEMY (1-11)	CT Div 2	60.0		W	12-	7		0.175
5/23	VALLEY REGIONAL (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.1		W	11-	5		0.225
			62.5						-0.58

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/07	A	Norwich Free Acad	9-	19	-10	-5	––	0.81	-5.25
4/10	H	East Lyme	0-	18	-18	-15	–	-0.81	-3.02
4/15	H	Stonington	6-	9	-3	-4		-0.81	0.70
4/22	A	Stonington	8-	14	-6	-5		0.81	-0.68
4/24	A	Wheeler, CT	10-	20	-10	-4	––	0.81	-5.69
4/25	H	Old Saybrook	13-	3	10	6	+	-0.81	3.56
4/30	A	Ledyard	7-	8	-1	0		0.81	-1.12
5/06	A	Fitch	7-	8	-1	-3	+	0.81	2.03
5/12	H	Ledyard	14-	9	5	2	+	-0.81	3.26
5/13	H	St. Bernard, CT	8-	14	-6	-5		-0.81	-0.58
5/15	H	Wheeler, CT	6-	9	-3	-3		-0.81	-0.31
5/17	H	Morgan School	4-	8	-4	-5		-0.81	1.27
5/19	A	Old Saybrook	10-	6	4	5		0.81	-0.82
5/21	H	Woodstock Academy	12-	7	5	3		-0.81	1.84
5/23	H	Valley Regional	11-	5	6	1	++	-0.81	4.80
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/07	A	Norwich Free Acad	9-	19	0.00
4/10	H	East Lyme	0-	18	3.02
4/24	A	Wheeler, CT	10-	20	0.00
4/25	H	Old Saybrook	13-	3	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.20

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	65.		Natl CCR Rank	1441
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	64.58		Natl Power Rank	1441
Natl SOS Rating	49.33		Natl SOS Rank	1979
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.58		Natl Quality Win Rank	1970
W-L Pct Rating	0.33		W-L Pct Rank	1404
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	5-10		Ave Goal diff (all )	-2.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-18.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	5.0


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