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West Chester Henderson Warriors (7-13)

Region: PA CML-N

State: PA

Coach: Kim Jackson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/20	RIDLEY (13-8)	PA Centrl	86.6		L	4-	14		-0.175
3/27	at Coatesville (0-16)	PA CML-N	74.0		W	17-	3		0.000
4/01	WEST CHESTER EAST (4-15)	PA CML-N	79.0		L	7-	13		-0.375
4/03	at Downingtown East (16-5)	PA CML-N	87.7		L	6-	15		-0.050
4/04	at Radnor (23-0)	PA Centrl	93.8	1	L	4-	20		0.000
4/07	at Unionville (12-8)	PA CML-A	87.5		L	1-	15		0.000
4/10	DOWNINGTOWN WEST (20-3)	PA CML-N	89.8	6	L	8-	15		-0.025
4/14	at Conestoga (13-7)	PA Centrl	85.9		L	6-	11		-0.100
4/15	at Bishop Shanahan (7-11)	PA CML-N	79.2		W	13-	6		0.150
4/17	AVON GROVE (11-8)	PA CML-N	84.9		L	8-	11		-0.225
4/22	COATESVILLE (0-16)	PA CML-N	74.0		W	16-	2		0.000
4/24	at West Chester East (4-15)	PA CML-N	79.0		W	15-	6		0.225
4/26	vs. Shipley School # (8-9)	PA Friend	77.3		W	16-	4		0.050
4/29	DOWNINGTOWN EAST (16-5)	PA CML-N	87.7		L	11-	17		-0.125
5/02	at West Chester Rustin (17-3)	PA CML-A	90.7	3	L	4-	16		0.000
5/06	at Downingtown West (20-3)	PA CML-N	89.8	6	L	9-	23		0.000
5/08	BISHOP SHANAHAN (7-11)	PA CML-N	79.2		W	15-	6		0.075
5/13	at Avon Grove (11-8)	PA CML-N	84.9		L	11-	19		-0.125
5/15	MARPLE NEWTOWN (6-13)	PA Centrl	79.0		W	19-	8		0.125
5/21	at Pottstown (14-7)	PA PAC	83.3		L	10-	13		-0.200
# Neutral site			78.8						-0.78

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/20	H	Ridley	4-	14	-10	-3	–––	-1.65	-6.91
3/27	A	Coatesville	17-	3	14	11	+	1.65	3.24
4/01	H	West Chester East	7-	13	-6	5	–––	-1.65	10.72
4/03	A	Downingtown East	6-	15	-9	-8		1.65	-0.69
4/04	A	Radnor	4-	20	-16	-18	+	1.65	2.14
4/07	A	Unionville	1-	15	-14	-10	––	1.65	-4.13
4/10	H	Downingtown West	8-	15	-7	-9		-1.65	1.74
4/14	A	Conestoga	6-	11	-5	-6		1.65	0.62
4/15	A	Bishop Shanahan	13-	6	7	4	+	1.65	3.06
4/17	H	Avon Grove	8-	11	-3	-1		-1.65	-1.69
4/22	H	Coatesville	16-	2	14	14		-1.65	-0.07
4/24	A	West Chester East	15-	6	9	1	+++	1.65	7.58
4/26	N	Shipley School	16-	4	12	8	++	0.00	4.49
4/29	H	Downingtown East	11-	17	-6	-5		-1.65	-0.99
5/02	A	West Chester Rustin	4-	16	-12	-13		1.65	0.68
5/06	A	Downingtown West	9-	23	-14	-12		1.65	-1.95
5/08	H	Bishop Shanahan	15-	6	9	7		-1.65	1.75
5/13	A	Avon Grove	11-	19	-8	-5	–	1.65	-3.39
5/15	H	Marple Newtown	19-	8	11	5	+++	-1.65	6.45
5/21	A	Pottstown	10-	13	-3	-2		1.65	-1.21
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/20	H	Ridley	4-	14	0.00
3/27	A	Coatesville	17-	3	-3.24
4/04	A	Radnor	4-	20	-2.14
4/07	A	Unionville	1-	15	4.00
4/22	H	Coatesville	16-	2	0.07
4/26	N	Shipley School	16-	4	-2.00
5/02	A	West Chester Rustin	4-	16	-0.68
5/06	A	Downingtown West	9-	23	1.95
5/15	H	Marple Newtown	19-	8	-1.00
10-goal correction: -0.15

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	81.		Natl CCR Rank	232
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	81.41		Natl Power Rank	232
Natl SOS Rating	74.22		Natl SOS Rank	246
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.78		Natl Quality Win Rank	2141
W-L Pct Rating	0.35		W-L Pct Rank	1399
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	7-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.2
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-9		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.0


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