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Nat'l CCR Nat'l Poll Computer Rating Strength of Schedule Nat'l Quality Wins W-L Pct

Conference Standings Games/Scores Upsets Accuracy

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Western Albemarle Warriors (15-3)

Region: VA NW AAState: VACoach: Nancy Haws

DateOpponentConferencePRTop 10Score QWF
3/15at Dominion (7-8)VA NW AA70.2W17- 3 0.000  
3/18at Albemarle (16-3)VA NW AAA83.54L6-13 -0.225  
3/24at Monticello, VA (2-8)VA NW AA68.5W17- 3 0.000  
3/29BROAD RUN (15-5)VA NW AA79.99W14- 3 0.075  
4/01at Charlottesville (2-7)VA NW AA70.0W17- 4 0.025  
4/12at Patrick Henry-Roanoke (3-5)VA NW AAA66.5W17- 1 0.000  
4/15at Covenant School (12-5)VA LIS76.4W12- 8 0.150  
4/23MONTICELLO, VA (2-8)VA NW AA68.5W16- 0 0.000  
4/24at Salem, VA (11-3)VA NW AA74.6W18- 5 0.050  
4/30at St. Anne's-Belfield (14-7)VA LIS78.0W15- 8 0.150  
5/02ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (10-6)VA NW AA75.2W15- 4 0.000  
5/06ALBEMARLE (16-3)VA NW AAA83.54L12-14 -0.325  
5/07at Brentsville District (3-10)VA NW AA65.4W16- 3 0.000  
5/13CHARLOTTESVILLE (2-7)VA NW AA70.0W16- 5 0.000  
5/15ROCKBRIDGE COUNTY (10-6)VA NW AA75.2W13- 2 0.000  
5/19POTOMAC FALLS (10-4)VA NW AA73.6W19- 4 0.000  
5/21BROAD RUN (15-5)VA NW AA79.99W12- 6 0.075  
5/31LOUDOUN VALLEY (16-5)VA NW AAA80.88L8- 9ot-0.375  
 76.8     -0.40  

Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
DateSiteOpponentScoreGoal Differential+/–Home Adv.Err-LErr-E
ActualPredicted
3/15ADominion17-314   11       +2.28       3.16
3/18AAlbemarle6-13-7   -1       ––2.28       -5.51
3/24AMonticello, VA17-314   12       +2.28       2.20
3/29HBroad Run14-311   7       ++-2.28       4.17
4/01ACharlottesville17-413   9       +2.28       3.56
4/12APatrick Henry-Roanoke17-116   16       2.28       0.07
4/15ACovenant School12-84   4       2.28       -0.36
4/23HMonticello, VA16-016   16       -2.28       -0.36
4/24ASalem, VA18-513   8       ++2.28       5.31
4/30ASt. Anne's-Belfield15-87   4       +2.28       3.32
5/02HRockbridge County15-411   11       -2.28       0.47
5/06HAlbemarle12-14-2   3       ––-2.28       -5.07
5/07ABrentsville District16-313   16       2.28       -3.02
5/13HCharlottesville16-511   14       -2.28       -3.00
5/15HRockbridge County13-211   11       -2.28       0.47
5/19HPotomac Falls19-415   13       -2.28       1.59
5/21HBroad Run12-66   7       -2.28       -0.83
5/31HLoudoun Valley8-9-1   5       –––-2.28       -6.13
         0.000.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
DateSiteOpponentScoreAdj.
3/15ADominion17-3-3.16
3/24AMonticello, VA17-3-2.20
3/29HBroad Run14-3-1.00
4/01ACharlottesville17-4-3.00
4/12APatrick Henry-Roanoke17-1-0.07
4/23HMonticello, VA16-00.36
4/24ASalem, VA18-5-3.00
5/02HRockbridge County15-4-0.47
5/07ABrentsville District16-33.02
5/13HCharlottesville16-53.00
5/15HRockbridge County13-2-0.47
5/19HPotomac Falls19-4-1.59
10-goal correction: -0.48

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating 83.   Natl CCR Rank 171
Natl Poll Vote n/a   Natl Poll Rank n/a
Natl Power Rating 82.96   Natl Power Rank 171
Natl SOS Rating 70.63   Natl SOS Rank 406
Natl Quality Win Rating -0.40   Natl Quality Win Rank 1755
W-L Pct Rating 0.83   W-L Pct Rank 182
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all ) 15-3   Ave Goal diff (all ) 9.2
Wins/Losses (top 5) 0-2   Ave Goal diff (top 5) -4.5
Wins/Losses (top 10) 2-3   Ave Goal diff (top 10) 1.4
Wins/Losses (top 20) 6-3   Ave Goal diff (top 20) 4.4
Wins/Losses (last 3) 2-1   Ave Goal diff (last 3) 6.7



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