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Wellington School, OH Jaguars (10-5)

Region: OH C-D2

State: OH

Coach: Adam Stewart

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
4/01	at Dublin Scioto (1-13)	OH C-D1	69.0		W	12-	5		0.100
4/04	LIBERTY, OH (4-6)	OH C-D2	70.2		W	13-	0		0.050
4/05	at Worthington Kilbourne (15-5)	OH C-D1	79.3	9	L	8-	14		-0.125
4/07	WESTERVILLE SOUTH (2-12)	OH C-D2	64.7		W	13-	3		0.000
4/12	vs. Lakota West # (14-5)	OH S-D2	74.7		W	9-	3		0.200
4/12	vs. St. Charles Co-op # (10-10)	IL DuPage	66.4		W	12-	4		0.025
4/17	HILLIARD DAVIDSON (1-14)	OH C-D1	67.7		W	17-	4		0.050
4/22	COLUMBUS ACADEMY, OH (12-3)	OH C-D1	81.3	6	L	8-	17		-0.075
4/24	DUBLIN JEROME (10-6)	OH C-D1	77.9	10	L	7-	19		-0.175
4/26	COLUMBUS SG, OH (7-8)	OH C-D1	73.9		W	11-	10		0.175
4/28	at Westerville North (2-4)	OH C-D2	68.8		W	14-	8		0.100
5/02	at Westerville Central (0-8)	OH C-D2	63.3		W	17-	3		0.000
5/03	at New Albany (21-1)	OH C-D2	84.4	3	L	6-	20		0.000
5/19	OLENTANGY (9-7)	OH C-D1	74.1		W	10-	5		0.175
5/22	vs. New Albany # (21-1)	OH C-D2	84.4	3	L	6-	13		0.000
# Neutral site			71.9						0.50

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/01	A	Dublin Scioto	12-	5	7	6		0.76	0.65
4/04	H	Liberty, OH	13-	0	13	8	++	-0.76	4.89
4/05	A	Worthington Kilbourne	8-	14	-6	-5		0.76	-0.80
4/07	H	Westerville South	13-	3	10	13	–	-0.76	-2.76
4/12	N	Lakota West	9-	3	6	2	+	0.00	3.54
4/12	N	St. Charles Co-op	12-	4	8	9		0.00		-1.10
4/17	H	Hilliard Davidson	17-	4	13	8	++	-0.76	4.94
4/22	H	Columbus Academy, OH	8-	17	-9	-7	–	-0.76	-2.50
4/24	H	Dublin Jerome	7-	19	-12	-3	–––	-0.76	-9.35
4/26	H	Columbus SG, OH	11-	10	1	3		-0.76	-1.85
4/28	A	Westerville North	14-	8	6	6		0.76	-0.44
5/02	A	Westerville Central	17-	3	14	13		0.76	1.39
5/03	A	New Albany	6-	20	-14	-11	–	0.76	-3.05
5/19	H	Olentangy	10-	5	5	3	+	-0.76	2.13
5/22	N	New Albany	6-	13	-7	-10	+	0.00	3.19
									0.00	-1.10

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/04	H	Liberty, OH	13-	0	-3.00
4/07	H	Westerville South	13-	3	2.76
4/17	H	Hilliard Davidson	17-	4	-3.00
4/24	H	Dublin Jerome	7-	19	2.00
5/02	A	Westerville Central	17-	3	-1.39
5/03	A	New Albany	6-	20	3.05
10-goal correction: 0.03

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	75.		Natl CCR Rank	555
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	75.46		Natl Power Rank	555
Natl SOS Rating	62.82		Natl SOS Rank	923
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.50		Natl Quality Win Rank	453
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	563
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	10-5		Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-10.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-9.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	1-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-7.0
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.3

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