| Region: FL Dist 5 | State: FL | Coach: Mary Hopkins |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/06 | at Dr. Phillips (6-9) | FL Dist 7 | 63.4 | | W | 18- | 0 | | 0.000 |
2/08 | at University HS, Orlando (11-6) | FL Dist 6 | 69.8 | | L | 7- | 8 | | -0.300 |
2/13 | at Olympia (15-3) | FL Dist 5 | 77.4 | 6 | L | 12- | 19 | | -0.100 |
2/15 | HAGERTY (1-13) | FL Dist 3 | 61.6 | | W | 18- | 9 | | 0.000 |
2/20 | MELBOURNE CNTRL CATHOL (0-10) | FL Dist 7 | 49.6 | | W | 19- | 0 | | 0.000 |
2/22 | BISHOP MOORE (4-11) | FL Dist 5 | 65.4 | | W | 21- | 10 | | 0.000 |
2/25 | APOPKA (2-13) | FL Dist 4 | 59.9 | | W | 25- | 9 | | 0.000 |
2/27 | EAST RIDGE (2-11) | FL Dist 5 | 57.0 | | W | 22- | 3 | | 0.000 |
3/05 | LYMAN (5-10) | FL Dist 4 | 65.5 | | W | 21- | 5 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | OCOEE (9-4) | FL Dist 5 | 67.8 | | W | 14- | 9 | | 0.000 |
3/15 | at Lake Brantley (18-4) | FL Dist 4 | 80.7 | 3 | L | 4- | 16 | | -0.050 |
3/15 | vs. Nease # (13-5) | FL Dist 2 | 76.5 | 8 | L | 9- | 11 | | -0.175 |
3/19 | EDGEWATER (1-13) | FL Dist 5 | 55.9 | | W | 18- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/20 | at Cypress Creek (9-8) | FL Dist 7 | 66.6 | | W | 13- | 4 | | 0.100 |
3/21 | at Colonial (2-10) | FL Dist 6 | 58.2 | | W | 18- | 4 | | 0.000 |
3/24 | BOONE (7-7) | FL Dist 6 | 65.3 | | W | 17- | 1 | | 0.000 |
3/26 | TIMBER CREEK (17-2) | FL Dist 6 | 77.8 | 5 | L | 13- | 15 | | -0.225 |
3/31 | vs. Ocoee # (9-4) | FL Dist 5 | 67.8 | | W | 23- | 8 | | 0.025 |
4/03 | vs. Olympia # (15-3) | FL Dist 5 | 77.4 | 6 | L | 11- | 15 | | -0.150 |
| # Neutral site | | 66.6 | | | | | | -0.88 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/06 | A | Dr. Phillips | 18- | 0 | 18 | 11 | +++ | 1.78 | 7.03 | |
2/08 | A | University HS, Orlando | 7- | 8 | -1 | 2 | – | 1.78 | -3.23 | |
2/13 | A | Olympia | 12- | 19 | -7 | -6 | | 1.78 | -0.88 | |
2/15 | H | Hagerty | 18- | 9 | 9 | 14 | –– | -1.78 | -5.47 | |
2/20 | H | Melbourne Cntrl Cathol | 19- | 0 | 19 | 24 | –– | -1.78 | -5.13 | |
2/22 | H | Bishop Moore | 21- | 10 | 11 | 11 | | -1.78 | 0.11 | |
2/25 | H | Apopka | 25- | 9 | 16 | 15 | | -1.78 | 1.25 | |
2/27 | H | East Ridge | 22- | 3 | 19 | 19 | | -1.78 | 0.08 | |
3/05 | H | Lyman | 21- | 5 | 16 | 11 | ++ | -1.78 | 4.59 | |
3/14 | H | Ocoee | 14- | 9 | 5 | 11 | –– | -1.78 | -5.65 | |
3/15 | A | Lake Brantley | 4- | 16 | -12 | -8 | – | 1.78 | -3.80 | |
3/15 | N | Nease | 9- | 11 | -2 | -3 | | 0.00 | 1.04 | |
3/19 | H | Edgewater | 18- | 1 | 17 | 18 | | -1.78 | -1.21 | |
3/20 | A | Cypress Creek | 13- | 4 | 9 | 6 | + | 1.78 | 2.73 | |
3/21 | A | Colonial | 18- | 4 | 14 | 14 | | 1.78 | 0.32 | |
3/24 | H | Boone | 17- | 1 | 16 | 13 | + | -1.78 | 3.16 | |
3/26 | H | Timber Creek | 13- | 15 | -2 | -1 | | -1.78 | -1.41 | |
3/31 | N | Ocoee | 23- | 8 | 15 | 9 | +++ | 0.00 | 6.13 | |
4/03 | N | Olympia | 11- | 15 | -4 | -4 | | 0.00 | 0.34 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/06 | A | Dr. Phillips | 18- | 0 | -7.03 |
2/20 | H | Melbourne Cntrl Cathol | 19- | 0 | 5.13 |
2/22 | H | Bishop Moore | 21- | 10 | -0.11 |
2/25 | H | Apopka | 25- | 9 | -1.25 |
2/27 | H | East Ridge | 22- | 3 | -0.08 |
3/05 | H | Lyman | 21- | 5 | -4.59 |
3/15 | A | Lake Brantley | 4- | 16 | 2.00 |
3/19 | H | Edgewater | 18- | 1 | 1.21 |
3/21 | A | Colonial | 18- | 4 | -0.32 |
3/24 | H | Boone | 17- | 1 | -3.16 |
3/31 | N | Ocoee | 23- | 8 | -5.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.70 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 71. | | Natl CCR Rank | 900 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 71.71 | | Natl Power Rank | 900 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 55.61 | | Natl SOS Rank | 1469 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | -0.88 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 2189 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.68 | | W-L Pct Rank | 509 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 13-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 8.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-6 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.7 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 3.0 |
|
