| Region: VA Pat | State: VA | Coach: Brian Puhlick |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/12 | at Chantilly (17-3) | VA Cncrd | 85.9 | 2 | L | 3- | 18 | | 0.000 |
3/14 | WESTFIELD, VA (12-6) | VA Cncrd | 79.3 | | L | 8- | 12 | | -0.200 |
3/26 | T.C. WILLIAMS (8-7) | VA Pat | 70.4 | | W | 17- | 3 | | 0.025 |
3/28 | at West Potomac (3-8) | VA Pat | 67.3 | | W | 12- | 6 | | 0.125 |
3/31 | at Langley (7-7) | VA Lbrty | 74.8 | | W | 12- | 10 | | 0.325 |
4/07 | ANNANDALE (15-3) | VA Pat | 76.2 | | L | 8- | 10 | | -0.275 |
4/09 | at South County (13-4) | VA Pat | 74.3 | | L | 9- | 10 | | -0.225 |
4/15 | LAKE BRADDOCK (7-6) | VA Pat | 72.5 | | W | 7- | 6 | | 0.125 |
4/25 | DOMINION (7-8) | VA NW AA | 70.2 | | W | 16- | 9 | | 0.050 |
4/28 | at Robert E. Lee (2-10) | VA Pat | 64.0 | | W | 20- | 5 | | 0.000 |
4/29 | at Hayfield (4-7) | VA Pat | 66.3 | | W | 16- | 7 | | 0.050 |
5/01 | HAYFIELD (4-7) | VA Pat | 66.3 | | W | 12- | 5 | | 0.000 |
5/05 | vs. South County # (13-4) | VA Pat | 74.3 | | W | 15- | 11 | | 0.225 |
5/08 | vs. Annandale # (15-3) | VA Pat | 76.2 | | L | 10- | 11 | | -0.225 |
5/13 | LANGLEY (7-7) | VA Lbrty | 74.8 | | W | 17- | 15 | | 0.225 |
5/15 | at Oakton (11-5) | VA Cncrd | 85.1 | 3 | L | 6- | 18 | | 0.000 |
| # Neutral site | | 76.3 | | | | | | 0.22 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/12 | A | Chantilly | 3- | 18 | -15 | -11 | –– | 2.28 | -4.40 | |
3/14 | H | Westfield, VA | 8- | 12 | -4 | -2 | – | -2.28 | -2.32 | |
3/26 | H | T.C. Williams | 17- | 3 | 14 | 9 | ++ | -2.28 | 5.50 | |
3/28 | A | West Potomac | 12- | 6 | 6 | 5 | | 2.28 | 0.75 | |
3/31 | A | Langley | 12- | 10 | 2 | -3 | ++ | 2.28 | 5.36 | |
4/07 | H | Annandale | 8- | 10 | -2 | 1 | – | -2.28 | -3.11 | |
4/09 | A | South County | 9- | 10 | -1 | -1 | | 2.28 | -0.20 | |
4/15 | H | Lake Braddock | 7- | 6 | 1 | 5 | – | -2.28 | -3.59 | |
4/25 | H | Dominion | 16- | 9 | 7 | 8 | | -2.28 | -0.67 | |
4/28 | A | Robert E. Lee | 20- | 5 | 15 | 11 | ++ | 2.28 | 4.27 | |
4/29 | A | Hayfield | 16- | 7 | 9 | 8 | | 2.28 | 0.89 | |
5/01 | H | Hayfield | 12- | 5 | 7 | 13 | –– | -2.28 | -5.67 | |
5/05 | N | South County | 15- | 11 | 4 | 1 | + | 0.00 | 2.52 | |
5/08 | N | Annandale | 10- | 11 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | 0.17 | |
5/13 | H | Langley | 17- | 15 | 2 | 1 | | -2.28 | 0.80 | |
5/15 | A | Oakton | 6- | 18 | -12 | -12 | | 2.28 | -0.31 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
3/12 | A | Chantilly | 3- | 18 | 4.40 |
3/26 | H | T.C. Williams | 17- | 3 | -4.00 |
4/28 | A | Robert E. Lee | 20- | 5 | -4.27 |
5/15 | A | Oakton | 6- | 18 | 0.31 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.22 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 75. | | Natl CCR Rank | 588 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 75.06 | | Natl Power Rank | 588 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 69.44 | | Natl SOS Rank | 474 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.22 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 738 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.62 | | W-L Pct Rank | 692 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 10-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -13.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.7 |
|
