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Wheeler, CT Lions (9-8)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	at Old Saybrook (1-14)	CT Div 2	57.5		W	14-	4		0.050
4/08	at St. Bernard, CT (11-6)	CT Div 2	72.2		L	10-	18		-0.150
4/10	FITCH (5-11)	CT Div 2	66.5		W	13-	10		0.200
4/23	ST. BERNARD, CT (11-6)	CT Div 2	72.2		L	12-	21		-0.200
4/24	WATERFORD, CT (5-10)	CT Div 2	64.6		W	20-	10		0.150
4/26	LEDYARD (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		L	13-	14		-0.375
4/29	STONINGTON (9-8)	CT Div 2	71.2		L	6-	13		-0.250
5/02	NORWICH FREE ACAD (7-8)	CT Div 1	69.9		W	13-	8		0.250
5/06	at Woodstock Academy (1-11)	CT Div 2	60.0		W	14-	3		0.125
5/07	VALLEY REGIONAL (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.1		W	18-	8		0.125
5/13	at East Lyme (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6		L	4-	16		0.000
5/14	at Ledyard (4-12)	CT Div 2	63.1		L	14-	15		-0.350
5/15	at Waterford, CT (5-10)	CT Div 2	64.6		W	9-	6		0.175
5/17	OLD SAYBROOK (1-14)	CT Div 2	57.5		W	21-	7		0.000
5/20	at Ellington (8-9)	CT Div 2	70.7		L	6-	10		-0.175
5/21	at East Lyme (15-3)	CT Div 1	79.6			-
5/22	at Valley Regional (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.1		W	16-	12		0.175
5/31	at New Milford (14-5)	CT Div 2	76.9		L	8-	17		-0.025
			63.3						-0.27

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	A	Old Saybrook	14-	4	10	8		0.81	1.68
4/08	A	St. Bernard, CT	10-	18	-8	-4	––	0.81	-4.46
4/10	H	Fitch	13-	10	3	2		-0.81	0.92
4/23	H	St. Bernard, CT	12-	21	-9	-2	–––	-0.81	-7.08
4/24	H	Waterford, CT	20-	10	10	4	++	-0.81	5.69
4/26	H	Ledyard	13-	14	-1	5	–––	-0.81	-6.24
4/29	H	Stonington	6-	13	-7	0	–––	-0.81	-6.80
5/02	H	Norwich Free Acad	13-	8	5	0	++	-0.81	4.64
5/06	A	Woodstock Academy	14-	3	11	5	++	0.81	5.96
5/07	H	Valley Regional	18-	8	10	5	++	-0.81	5.30
5/13	A	East Lyme	4-	16	-12	-13		0.81	1.10
5/14	A	Ledyard	14-	15	-1	4	––	0.81	-4.62
5/15	A	Waterford, CT	9-	6	3	3		0.81	0.31
5/17	H	Old Saybrook	21-	7	14	10	++	-0.81	4.06
5/20	A	Ellington	6-	10	-4	-3		0.81	-1.18
5/22	A	Valley Regional	16-	12	4	3		0.81	0.91
5/31	A	New Milford	8-	17	-9	-9		0.81	-0.19
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	A	Old Saybrook	14-	4	0.00
4/24	H	Waterford, CT	20-	10	0.00
5/06	A	Woodstock Academy	14-	3	-1.00
5/07	H	Valley Regional	18-	8	0.00
5/13	A	East Lyme	4-	16	-1.10
5/17	H	Old Saybrook	21-	7	-4.06
10-goal correction: -0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	69.		Natl CCR Rank	1047
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	68.79		Natl Power Rank	1047
Natl SOS Rating	50.65		Natl SOS Rank	1907
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.27		Natl Quality Win Rank	1568
W-L Pct Rating	0.53		W-L Pct Rank	943
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	1.1
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-0		Ave Goal diff (top 5)
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-12.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-10.5
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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