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Wilton Warriors (18-4 - 1)

Region: CT Div 1

State: CT

Coach: Cindy Wiseman

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	RIDGEFIELD (5-11)	CT Div 2	73.2		W	17-	7		0.000
4/11	at Fairfield Warde (7-9)	CT Div 1	75.8		W	16-	4		0.000
4/12	NEWTOWN (19-3)	CT Div 1	81.2	8	W	11-	5		0.100
4/15	at Trumbull (6-10)	CT Div 2	73.9		W	18-	6		0.000
4/17	NORWALK (5-10)	CT Div 2	72.3		W	16-	4		0.000
4/22	GLASTONBURY (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	W	7-	4		0.150
4/23	ST. JOSEPH, CT (5-11)	CT Div 2	72.3		W	20-	5		0.000
4/25	at Darien (17-4)	CT Div 1	86.4	1	L	10-	15		-0.150
4/29	at Danbury (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	W	16-	6		0.150
5/02	NEW CANAAN (16-5)	CT Div 1	83.1	4	L	13-	14	ot	-0.250
5/05	at Greenwich HS (14-4)	CT Div 1	83.1	3	T	14-	14	2ot	0.000
5/08	DANIEL HAND (15-5)	CT Div 1	79.6	10	W	18-	8		0.025
5/10	at Brien McMahon (11-6)	CT Div 1	79.8	9	W	16-	10		0.150
5/12	at Greenwich Academy (21-3)	NE	86.8		L	11-	17		-0.175
5/13	at Staples (7-9)	CT Div 2	74.5		W	21-	5		0.000
5/16	FAIRFIELD LUDLOWE (3-13)	CT Div 2	72.2		W	21-	6		0.000
5/20	DANBURY (16-5)	CT Div 2	81.3	7	W	20-	11		0.125
5/22	vs. Greenwich HS # (14-4)	CT Div 1	83.1	3	W	16-	15	ot	0.225
5/27	vs. New Canaan # (16-5)	CT Div 1	83.1	4	W	15-	14		0.250
5/31	AVON (10-4)	CT Div 1	78.2		W	20-	9		0.050
6/02	at Hall, West Hartford (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	W	11-	10		0.200
6/04	vs. Greenwich HS # (14-4)	CT Div 1	83.1	3	W	12-	11		0.225
6/07	vs. Darien # (17-4)	CT Div 1	86.4	1	L	7-	20		-0.175
# Neutral site			77.7						0.90

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Ridgefield	17-	7	10	14	–	-0.81	-3.51
4/11	A	Fairfield Warde	16-	4	12	10		0.81	1.76
4/12	H	Newtown	11-	5	6	6		-0.81	0.01
4/15	A	Trumbull	18-	6	12	11		0.81	0.61
4/17	H	Norwalk	16-	4	12	15	–	-0.81	-3.39
4/22	H	Glastonbury	7-	4	3	4		-0.81	-1.11
4/23	H	St. Joseph, CT	20-	5	15	16		-0.81	-0.51
4/25	A	Darien	10-	15	-5	-4		0.81	-1.04
4/29	A	Danbury	16-	6	10	4	+++	0.81	6.36
5/02	H	New Canaan	13-	14	-1	0		-0.81	-1.41
5/05	A	Greenwich HS	14-	14	0	1		0.81	-0.50
5/08	H	Daniel Hand	18-	8	10	9		-0.81	1.34
5/10	A	Brien McMahon	16-	10	6	4		0.81	1.74
5/12	A	Greenwich Academy	11-	17	-6	-3	–	0.93		-2.51
5/13	A	Staples	21-	5	16	13	+	0.81	2.94
5/16	H	Fairfield Ludlowe	21-	6	15	15		-0.81	-0.03
5/20	H	Danbury	20-	11	9	5	+	-0.81	3.75
5/22	N	Greenwich HS	16-	15	1	1		0.00	-0.31
5/27	N	New Canaan	15-	14	1	0		0.00	1.40
5/31	H	Avon	20-	9	11	8	+	-0.81	2.86
6/02	A	Hall, West Hartford	11-	10	1	2		0.81	-0.79
6/04	N	Greenwich HS	12-	11	1	1		0.00	-0.31
6/07	N	Darien	7-	20	-13	-3	–––	0.00	-9.85
									0.00	-2.51

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Ridgefield	17-	7	3.51
4/11	A	Fairfield Warde	16-	4	-1.76
4/15	A	Trumbull	18-	6	-0.61
4/17	H	Norwalk	16-	4	3.39
4/23	H	St. Joseph, CT	20-	5	0.51
4/29	A	Danbury	16-	6	0.00
5/08	H	Daniel Hand	18-	8	0.00
5/13	A	Staples	21-	5	-2.94
5/16	H	Fairfield Ludlowe	21-	6	0.03
5/31	H	Avon	20-	9	-1.00
6/07	N	Darien	7-	20	3.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	130
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.20		Natl Power Rank	130
Natl SOS Rating	71.99		Natl SOS Rank	333
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.90		Natl Quality Win Rank	201
W-L Pct Rating	0.80		W-L Pct Rank	217
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	18-4		Ave Goal diff (all )	5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	4-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-1.9
Wins/Losses (top 10)	9-3		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	1.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	11-3		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.7
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.7


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