High School Computer Ratings

Winters Mill Falcons (17-2)

Region: MD 2A

State: MD

Coach: Courtney Vaughn

Team Page Links: • 2009 • 2008 • 2007 • 2006 • 2005 •

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Rank	Score				COR
3/25	WESTMINSTER, MD (13-5)	MD 4A	86.8		L	7-	8		-0.225
3/29	FREDERICK (2-10)	MD 3A	64.6		W	21-	2		0.000
4/01	CENTURY, MD (12-4)	MD 2A	87.7	8	W	17-	16	ot	0.350
4/03	at Middletown, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	78.5		W	17-	8		0.050
4/07	at South Carroll (8-6)	MD 1A	81.1		W	18-	9		0.175
4/08	NORTH HAGERSTOWN (1-11)	MD 2A	60.0		W	19-	0		0.000
4/10	at South Hagerstown (0-10)	MD 2A	53.4		W	20-	0		0.000
4/15	WALKERSVILLE (9-7)	MD 2A	78.8		W	16-	4		0.050
4/18	SETON KEOUGH (3-13)	MD IAAM A	82.5		W	22-	11		0.075
4/19	MARYVALE PREP (5-11)	MD IAAM A	86.9		L	12-	13	ot	-0.325
4/23	at Hereford (9-10)	MD 2A	82.2		W	14-	11		0.250
4/24	at Francis Scott Key (5-9)	MD 2A	74.0		W	19-	4		0.000
4/29	at Liberty, MD (15-2)	MD 2A	90.4	4	W	12-	11		0.400
5/01	at North Carroll (5-10)	MD 3A	79.2		W	18-	12		0.175
5/10	CLARKSBURG (2-9)	MD 2A	59.5		W	21-	1		0.000
5/13	WALKERSVILLE (9-7)	MD 2A	78.8		W	18-	3		0.050
5/14	MIDDLETOWN, MD (11-4)	MD 2A	78.5		W	16-	10		0.000
5/16	vs. Centennial, MD # (14-4)	MD 3A	87.0	10	W	11-	10		0.250
5/21	vs. Towson HS # (14-5)	MD 3A	87.2	9	W	14-	13	2ot	1.275
# Neutral site			78.2						2.55

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/25	H	Westminster, MD	7-	8	-1	-1		-0.99	-0.11
3/29	H	Frederick	21-	2	19	25	––	-0.99	-5.72
4/01	H	Century, MD	17-	16	1	-4	++	-0.99	5.07
4/03	A	Middletown, MD	17-	8	9	8		0.99	0.79
4/07	A	South Carroll	18-	9	9	3	+++	0.99	6.28
4/08	H	North Hagerstown	19-	0	19	29	–––	-0.99	-9.85
4/10	A	South Hagerstown	20-	0	20	33	–––	0.99	-12.79
4/15	H	Walkersville	16-	4	12	8	++	-0.99	4.50
4/18	H	Seton Keough	22-	11	11	7	+	-0.77		3.65
4/19	H	Maryvale Prep	12-	13	-1	3	–	-0.77		-3.94
4/23	A	Hereford	14-	11	3	0	+	0.99	2.99
4/24	A	Francis Scott Key	19-	4	15	13		0.99	1.52
4/29	A	Liberty, MD	12-	11	1	-6	+++	0.99	6.75
5/01	A	North Carroll	18-	12	6	3	+	0.99	2.61
5/10	H	Clarksburg	21-	1	20	29	–––	-0.99	-8.78
5/13	H	Walkersville	18-	3	15	8	+++	-0.99	7.50
5/14	H	Middletown, MD	16-	10	6	10	––	-0.99	-4.20
5/16	N	Centennial, MD	11-	10	1	0		0.00	1.03
5/21	N	Towson HS	14-	13	1	-1	+	0.00	2.43
									0.00	-0.29