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Windsor Warriors (3-13)

Region: CT Div 2

State: CT

Coach: C. Tollefson

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/08	EAST CATHOLIC (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.2		W	19-	6		0.125
4/10	at Newington (4-11)	CT Div 2	69.7		L	10-	11		-0.200
4/14	CONARD (9-8)	CT Div 1	75.9		L	5-	18		-0.075
4/15	at Ellington (8-9)	CT Div 2	70.7		L	7-	8		-0.200
4/17	SUFFIELD HS (17-3)	CT Div 2	77.8		L	3-	17		-0.025
4/29	at South Windsor (11-6)	CT Div 1	78.1		L	5-	16		0.000
5/01	GLASTONBURY (14-3)	CT Div 1	82.0	6	L	4-	16		0.000
5/02	at Suffield HS (17-3)	CT Div 2	77.8		L	7-	23		0.000
5/05	NORTHWEST CATHOLIC (17-2)	CT Div 2	78.2		L	7-	14		-0.075
5/08	at Hall, West Hartford (16-1)	CT Div 1	82.3	5	L	3-	20		0.000
5/12	FARMINGTON, CT (6-9)	CT Div 2	71.2		W	12-	11		0.300
5/13	at East Catholic (5-11)	CT Div 2	64.2		W	18-	12		0.150
5/15	SOUTHINGTON (3-10)	CT Div 1	69.7		L	8-	9		-0.225
5/19	HAMDEN (12-7)	CT Div 1	74.5		L	4-	11		-0.125
5/21	at Granby Memorial (10-7)	CT Div 1	72.1		L	5-	6		-0.175
5/22	SIMSBURY (5-8)	CT Div 1	72.9		L	6-	13		-0.150
			69.8						-0.68

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/08	H	East Catholic	19-	6	13	5	+++	-0.81	7.86
4/10	A	Newington	10-	11	-1	-2		0.81	0.65
4/14	H	Conard	5-	18	-13	-7	––	-0.81	-5.50
4/15	A	Ellington	7-	8	-1	-2		0.81	1.30
4/17	H	Suffield HS	3-	17	-14	-9	––	-0.81	-4.54
4/29	A	South Windsor	5-	16	-11	-11		0.81	0.11
5/01	H	Glastonbury	4-	16	-12	-15	+	-0.81	2.84
5/02	A	Suffield HS	7-	23	-16	-11	––	0.81	-4.93
5/05	H	Northwest Catholic	7-	14	-7	-7		-0.81	0.10
5/08	A	Hall, West Hartford	3-	20	-17	-17		0.81	0.17
5/12	H	Farmington, CT	12-	11	1	-2	+	-0.81	2.82
5/13	A	East Catholic	18-	12	6	4	+	0.81	2.48
5/15	H	Southington	8-	9	-1	-1		-0.81	0.28
5/19	H	Hamden	4-	11	-7	-5	–	-0.81	-2.45
5/21	A	Granby Memorial	5-	6	-1	-3		0.81	1.94
5/22	H	Simsbury	6-	13	-7	-4	–	-0.81	-3.13
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/08	H	East Catholic	19-	6	-3.00
4/14	H	Conard	5-	18	3.00
4/17	H	Suffield HS	3-	17	4.00
4/29	A	South Windsor	5-	16	-0.11
5/01	H	Glastonbury	4-	16	-2.84
5/02	A	Suffield HS	7-	23	4.93
5/08	A	Hall, West Hartford	3-	20	-0.17
10-goal correction: 0.36

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	68.		Natl CCR Rank	1168
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.93		Natl Power Rank	1168
Natl SOS Rating	59.24		Natl SOS Rank	1191
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.68		Natl Quality Win Rank	2072
W-L Pct Rating	0.19		W-L Pct Rank	1739
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-13		Ave Goal diff (all )	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-17.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-7		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-12.9
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-5.0


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