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Winchester Sachems (20-1 - 2)

Region: MA No D2

State: MA

Coach: Suzanne Ontso

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/03	at Burlington (0-11)	MA No D2	51.4		W	13-	1		0.000
4/05	at Reading Memorial (14-5)	MA No D1	78.3		T	9-	9		0.000
4/08	LEXINGTON HS (18-4)	MA No D1	78.9		W	18-	10		0.125
4/11	at Belmont (7-7)	MA No D2	69.5		W	15-	4		0.050
4/15	at Wakefield Memorial, MA (3-11)	MA No D2	61.2		W	12-	1		0.000
4/17	DUXBURY (14-5)	MA So D2	78.9		T	11-	11		0.000
4/22	at Hopkinton, MA (15-5)	MA So D2	80.2		W	16-	11		0.225
4/24	KING PHILIP (17-3)	MA So D1	81.9	8	W	11-	10		0.225
4/26	at Westborough (14-3)	MA Cen D1	78.8		W	15-	9		0.200
4/29	at Woburn (4-9)	MA No D1	65.7		W	18-	6		0.000
5/01	BURLINGTON (0-11)	MA No D2	51.4		W	13-	1		0.000
5/02	ANDOVER, MA (17-6)	MA No D1	81.5	9	W	9-	8		0.225
5/06	READING MEMORIAL (14-5)	MA No D1	78.3		W	11-	10		0.175
5/09	at Lexington HS (18-4)	MA No D1	78.9		W	16-	10		0.175
5/13	BELMONT (7-7)	MA No D2	69.5		W	12-	1		0.000
5/15	WAKEFIELD MEMORIAL, MA (3-11)	MA No D2	61.2		W	15-	1		0.000
5/20	WOBURN (4-9)	MA No D1	65.7		W	14-	2		0.000
5/22	WESTWOOD, MA (24-0)	MA So D1	92.1	1	L	6-	20		-0.075
5/27	ST. MARY'S, MA (11-8)	MA No D2	62.7		W	18-	1		0.000
5/31	vs. Marblehead # (16-4)	MA No D2	75.8		W	20-	8		0.075
6/03	at North Andover (20-2)	MA No D2	79.5		W	11-	9		0.150
6/06	vs. Georgetown, MA # (13-6)	MA No D2	74.2		W	15-	10		0.050
6/10	vs. Norwell # (16-9)	MA So D2	79.6		W	9-	8		1.200
# Neutral site			78.0						2.80

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/03	A	Burlington	13-	1	12	15	–	0.92	-2.73
4/05	A	Reading Memorial	9-	9	0	2		0.92	-1.52
4/08	H	Lexington HS	18-	10	8	5	+	-0.92	2.81
4/11	A	Belmont	15-	4	11	8	+	0.92	2.80
4/15	A	Wakefield Memorial, MA	12-	1	11	12		0.92	-1.13
4/17	H	Duxbury	11-	11	0	3	–	-0.92	-2.64
4/22	A	Hopkinton, MA	16-	11	5	1	++	0.92	4.03
4/24	H	King Philip	11-	10	1	1		-0.92	-0.17
4/26	A	Westborough	15-	9	6	2	++	0.92	4.35
4/29	A	Woburn	18-	6	12	10	+	0.92	2.49
5/01	H	Burlington	13-	1	12	17	––	-0.92	-4.56
5/02	H	Andover, MA	9-	8	1	1		-0.92	-0.47
5/06	H	Reading Memorial	11-	10	1	3	–	-0.92	-2.35
5/09	A	Lexington HS	16-	10	6	3	+	0.92	2.64
5/13	H	Belmont	12-	1	11	10		-0.92	0.97
5/15	H	Wakefield Memorial, MA	15-	1	14	14		-0.92	0.04
5/20	H	Woburn	14-	2	12	11		-0.92	0.66
5/22	H	Westwood, MA	6-	20	-14	-7	–––	-0.92	-7.14
5/27	H	St. Mary's, MA	18-	1	17	15	+	-0.92	2.44
5/31	N	Marblehead	20-	8	12	7	++	0.00	4.55
6/03	A	North Andover	11-	9	2	4		0.92	-1.65
6/06	N	Georgetown, MA	15-	10	5	8	–	0.00	-2.69
6/10	N	Norwell	9-	8	1	2		0.00	-0.72
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/03	A	Burlington	13-	1	2.73
4/11	A	Belmont	15-	4	-1.00
4/15	A	Wakefield Memorial, MA	12-	1	1.13
4/29	A	Woburn	18-	6	-2.49
5/01	H	Burlington	13-	1	4.56
5/13	H	Belmont	12-	1	-0.97
5/15	H	Wakefield Memorial, MA	15-	1	-0.04
5/20	H	Woburn	14-	2	-0.66
5/22	H	Westwood, MA	6-	20	4.00
5/27	H	St. Mary's, MA	18-	1	-2.44
5/31	N	Marblehead	20-	8	-2.00
10-goal correction: 0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	84.		Natl CCR Rank	135
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	84.50		Natl Power Rank	135
Natl SOS Rating	72.49		Natl SOS Rank	312
Natl Quality Win Rating	2.80		Natl Quality Win Rank	4
W-L Pct Rating	0.91		W-L Pct Rank	68
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	20-1		Ave Goal diff (all )	6.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-4.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	9-1		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	1.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	3-0		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	2.7


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