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Winter Park Wildcats (12-6)

Region: FL Dist 6

State: FL

Coach: Tom Kienle

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
2/06	WINTER SPRINGS (14-5)	FL Dist 3	78.2	4	L	10-	13		-0.225
2/12	TIMBER CREEK (17-2)	FL Dist 6	77.8	5	L	10-	17		-0.275
2/20	FREEDOM, FL (7-8)	FL Dist 7	63.6		W	16-	3		0.000
2/21	COLONIAL (2-10)	FL Dist 6	58.2		W	16-	1		0.000
2/27	at University HS, Orlando (11-6)	FL Dist 6	69.8		W	19-	6		0.175
3/01	vs. Wellington, FL # (10-7)	FL Dist 10	72.8		W	10-	5		0.250
3/01	vs. St. Edward's # (4-11)	FL Dist 8	67.3		W	10-	5		0.075
3/04	at Lake Highland Prep (11-6)	FL Dist 6	73.8		L	6-	8		-0.175
3/06	EDGEWATER (1-13)	FL Dist 5	55.9		W	17-	1		0.000
3/07	at Tampa Catholic (9-3)	FL Dist 7	71.9		W	12-	6		0.225
3/13	at Boone (7-7)	FL Dist 6	65.3		W	16-	4		0.000
3/15	LOVETT (5-9)	GA A8	67.0		W	12-	7		0.050
3/17	at Olympia (15-3)	FL Dist 5	77.4	6	L	6-	12		-0.125
3/19	at Ocoee (9-4)	FL Dist 5	67.8		W	15-	10		0.050
3/24	at Dr. Phillips (6-9)	FL Dist 7	63.4		W	17-	4		0.000
3/27	at Lake Brantley (18-4)	FL Dist 4	80.7	3	L	7-	17		-0.075
3/31	at Lake Highland Prep (11-6)	FL Dist 6	73.8		W	12-	10		0.325
4/01	vs. Timber Creek # (17-2)	FL Dist 6	77.8	5	L	11-	13		-0.225
# Neutral site			70.4						0.05

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/06	H	Winter Springs	10-	13	-3	-1		-1.78	-1.84
2/12	H	Timber Creek	10-	17	-7	1	–––	-1.78	-7.57
2/20	H	Freedom, FL	16-	3	13	15		-1.78	-1.86
2/21	H	Colonial	16-	1	15	18	–	-1.78	-3.41
2/27	A	University HS, Orlando	19-	6	13	3	+++	1.78	9.60
3/01	N	Wellington, FL	10-	5	5	0	++	0.00	5.06
3/01	N	St. Edward's	10-	5	5	7	–	0.00	-2.43
3/04	A	Lake Highland Prep	6-	8	-2	-3		1.78	1.32
3/06	H	Edgewater	17-	1	16	19	–	-1.78	-3.37
3/07	A	Tampa Catholic	12-	6	6	1	++	1.78	4.82
3/13	A	Boone	16-	4	12	10		1.78	1.56
3/15	H	Lovett	12-	7	5	8	–	-1.74		-3.41
3/17	A	Olympia	6-	12	-6	-5		1.78	-1.04
3/19	A	Ocoee	15-	10	5	8	–	1.78	-3.26
3/24	A	Dr. Phillips	17-	4	13	12		1.78	0.87
3/27	A	Lake Brantley	7-	17	-10	-7	–	1.78	-2.97
3/31	A	Lake Highland Prep	12-	10	2	-3	++	1.78	5.32
4/01	N	Timber Creek	11-	13	-2	-1		0.00	-0.79
									0.00	-3.41

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/20	H	Freedom, FL	16-	3	1.86
2/21	H	Colonial	16-	1	3.41
2/27	A	University HS, Orlando	19-	6	-3.00
3/06	H	Edgewater	17-	1	3.37
3/13	A	Boone	16-	4	-1.56
3/24	A	Dr. Phillips	17-	4	-0.87
3/27	A	Lake Brantley	7-	17	0.00
10-goal correction: 0.18

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	73.		Natl CCR Rank	738
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	73.64		Natl Power Rank	738
Natl SOS Rating	60.85		Natl SOS Rank	1065
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.05		Natl Quality Win Rank	959
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	531
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	4.4
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-4		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-5.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-5.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-0.4
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.3


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