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Worcester Acad, MA Hilltoppers (3-8 - 1)

Region: NE

State: MA

Coach: Erin Flynn

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
4/02	THAYER ACADEMY (15-3)	NE	85.9	5	L	4-	19		0.000
4/09	at Tabor Academy (1-13)	NE	67.9		L	7-	14		-0.175
4/14	at Pingree School (14-5)	NE	79.4		L	2-	16		0.000
4/16	BEAVER CDS (0-8)	NE	54.1		W	13-	2		0.000
4/18	PORTSMOUTH ABBEY (10-3)	NE	76.9		L	6-	15		-0.050
4/23	MARIANAPOLIS, CT (2-7)	RI SENE II	60.7		W	16-	5		0.050
4/25	at Waring School (1-0)	NE	68.8		T	7-	7		0.000
4/26	BUCKINGHAM, B & N (9-7)	NE	77.5		L	9-	16		0.000
5/02	WILLISTON NORTHAMPTON (12-0)	NE	81.1		L	2-	15		0.000
5/03	at Northfield-Mt. Hermon (1-12)	NE	66.6			-
5/05	at Bancroft School (2-9)	NE	56.9			-
5/07	at Cheshire Academy (1-6)	NE	49.2			-
5/10	POMFRET SCHOOL (9-6)	NE	74.4		L	12-	17		-0.050
5/14	CUSHING ACADEMY (10-5)	NE	73.0		L	5-	14		-0.125
5/17	at Wilbraham & Monson (5-6)	NE	62.1		W	10-	4		0.125
			72.1						-0.22

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
4/02	H	Thayer Academy	4-	19	-15	-17	+	-1.05	2.15
4/09	A	Tabor Academy	7-	14	-7	-3	–	1.05	-3.65
4/14	A	Pingree School	2-	16	-14	-13		1.05	-0.95
4/16	H	Beaver CDS	13-	2	11	10		-1.05	0.90
4/18	H	Portsmouth Abbey	6-	15	-9	-8		-1.05	-0.50
4/23	H	Marianapolis, CT	16-	5	11	8	+	-1.05		3.17
4/25	A	Waring School	7-	7	0	-1		1.05	1.10
4/26	H	Buckingham, B & N	9-	16	-7	-10	+	-1.05	3.48
5/02	H	Williston Northampton	2-	15	-13	-11		-1.05	-1.61
5/10	H	Pomfret School	12-	17	-5	-8	+	-1.05	2.56
5/14	H	Cushing Academy	5-	14	-9	-5	––	-1.05	-4.45
5/17	A	Wilbraham & Monson	10-	4	6	5		1.05	0.97
									0.00	3.17

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
4/02	H	Thayer Academy	4-	19	-2.15
4/14	A	Pingree School	2-	16	0.95
4/16	H	Beaver CDS	13-	2	-0.90
4/23	H	Marianapolis, CT	16-	5	-1.00
5/02	H	Williston Northampton	2-	15	1.61
10-goal correction: -0.12

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	67.		Natl CCR Rank	1226
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	67.43		Natl Power Rank	1226
Natl SOS Rating	63.54		Natl SOS Rank	870
Natl Quality Win Rating	-0.22		Natl Quality Win Rank	1510
W-L Pct Rating	0.29		W-L Pct Rank	1515
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	3-8		Ave Goal diff (all )	-4.2
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-15.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	0-2		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-14.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	0-5		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-11.6
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-2.7


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