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Westfield, VA Bulldogs (12-6)

Region: VA Cncrd

State: VA

Coach: Jim Dwyer

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/12	JAMES MADISON (6-7)	VA Lbrty	72.7		W	21-	9		0.025
3/14	at West Springfield, VA (10-6)	VA Pat	75.1		W	12-	8		0.200
3/18	at Bluffton (9-4)	SC SCLL	68.1		W	15-	7		0.025
3/26	at Centreville (2-8)	VA Cncrd	66.9		W	16-	5		0.000
3/28	HERNDON (5-6)	VA Cncrd	76.6		W	11-	9		0.150
4/01	OAKTON (11-5)	VA Cncrd	85.1	3	W	14-	10		0.325
4/04	at Fairfax (3-8)	VA Cncrd	68.0		W	15-	8		0.025
4/10	at Robinson Secondary (12-4)	VA Cncrd	82.6	6	L	9-	10		-0.125
4/12	at Broad Run (15-5)	VA NW AA	79.9	9	L	9-	10		-0.200
4/17	CHANTILLY (17-3)	VA Cncrd	85.9	2	L	5-	8		-0.200
4/23	FALLS CHURCH (10-5)	VA Natl	70.2		W	19-	7		0.000
5/01	CENTREVILLE (2-8)	VA Cncrd	66.9		W	17-	5		0.000
5/05	at Robinson Secondary (12-4)	VA Cncrd	82.6	6	L	5-	15		-0.125
5/13	at Falls Church (10-5)	VA Natl	70.2		W	15-	4		0.050
5/15	JAMES MADISON (6-7)	VA Lbrty	72.7		W	17-	13		0.025
5/19	vs. Chantilly # (17-3)	VA Cncrd	85.9	2	L	6-	17		-0.150
5/21	vs. W.T. Woodson # (11-5)	VA Lbrty	79.5		W	13-	12		0.275
5/30	at Albemarle (16-3)	VA NW AAA	83.5	4	L	9-	12		-0.125
# Neutral site			78.5						0.18

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/12	H	James Madison	21-	9	12	9	+	-2.28	2.77
3/14	A	West Springfield, VA	12-	8	4	2	+	2.28	2.32
3/18	A	Bluffton	15-	7	8	9		1.84		-1.37
3/26	A	Centreville	16-	5	11	10		2.28	1.30
3/28	H	Herndon	11-	9	2	4	–	-2.28	-2.02
4/01	H	Oakton	14-	10	4	-3	+++	-2.28	7.17
4/04	A	Fairfax	15-	8	7	9	–	2.28	-2.36
4/10	A	Robinson Secondary	9-	10	-1	-5	+	2.28	3.83
4/12	A	Broad Run	9-	10	-1	-2		2.28	0.50
4/17	H	Chantilly	5-	8	-3	-2		-2.28	-0.93
4/23	H	Falls Church	19-	7	12	12		-2.28	-0.41
5/01	H	Centreville	17-	5	12	14	–	-2.28	-2.26
5/05	A	Robinson Secondary	5-	15	-10	-5	––	2.28	-5.17
5/13	A	Falls Church	15-	4	11	8	+	2.28	3.15
5/15	H	James Madison	17-	13	4	9	––	-2.28	-5.23
5/19	N	Chantilly	6-	17	-11	-4	–––	0.00	-6.65
5/21	N	W.T. Woodson	13-	12	1	-1		0.00	1.71
5/30	A	Albemarle	9-	12	-3	-5	+	2.28	2.26
									0.00	-1.37

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
3/12	H	James Madison	21-	9	-2.00
3/26	A	Centreville	16-	5	-1.30
4/23	H	Falls Church	19-	7	0.41
5/01	H	Centreville	17-	5	2.26
5/05	A	Robinson Secondary	5-	15	0.00
5/13	A	Falls Church	15-	4	-1.00
5/19	N	Chantilly	6-	17	1.00
10-goal correction: -0.04

National Rating
Natl CCR Rating	79.		Natl CCR Rank	298
Natl Poll Vote	n/a		Natl Poll Rank	n/a
Natl Power Rating	79.31		Natl Power Rank	298
Natl SOS Rating	73.41		Natl SOS Rank	273
Natl Quality Win Rating	0.18		Natl Quality Win Rank	790
W-L Pct Rating	0.67		W-L Pct Rank	579
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	12-6		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	1-3		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-3.2
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-6		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-3.6
Wins/Losses (top 20)	4-6		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	-1.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	1-2		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-4.3


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