| Region: AZ AGLA 1 | State: AZ | Coach: Kelsey Quan |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
2/23 | DESERT VISTA (7-6) | AZ AGLA 2 | 59.1 | 9 | W | 13- | 6 | | 0.150 |
2/26 | at Chaparral, AZ (9-6) | AZ AGLA 1 | 72.3 | 3 | L | 3- | 16 | | 0.000 |
3/06 | vs. Desert Mountain # (5-8) | AZ AGLA 1 | 66.0 | 5 | L | 13- | 15 | | -0.125 |
3/11 | at Horizon (12-2) | AZ AGLA 1 | 79.0 | 1 | L | 4- | 19 | | 0.000 |
3/13 | at Pinnacle (13-4) | AZ AGLA 1 | 74.7 | 2 | L | 4- | 14 | | 0.000 |
3/17 | at Notre Dame Prep, AZ (0-12) | AZ AGLA 2 | 47.3 | | W | 16- | 2 | | 0.000 |
4/01 | GILBERT (5-7) | AZ AGLA 1 | 65.6 | 6 | L | 8- | 15 | | -0.175 |
4/05 | CHAPARRAL, AZ (9-6) | AZ AGLA 1 | 72.3 | 3 | L | 4- | 17 | | 0.000 |
4/10 | HORIZON (12-2) | AZ AGLA 1 | 79.0 | 1 | L | 10- | 22 | | 0.000 |
4/12 | DESERT MOUNTAIN (5-8) | AZ AGLA 1 | 66.0 | 5 | W | 10- | 9 | | 0.375 |
4/14 | at Gilbert (5-7) | AZ AGLA 1 | 65.6 | 6 | L | 10- | 17 | | -0.150 |
4/17 | PINNACLE (13-4) | AZ AGLA 1 | 74.7 | 2 | L | 2- | 14 | | -0.025 |
| # Neutral site | | 71.6 | | | | | | 0.05 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/23 | H | Desert Vista | 13- | 6 | 7 | 4 | + | -0.48 | 3.20 | |
2/26 | A | Chaparral, AZ | 3- | 16 | -13 | -11 | – | 0.48 | -2.36 | |
3/06 | N | Desert Mountain | 13- | 15 | -2 | -5 | + | 0.00 | 3.19 | |
3/11 | A | Horizon | 4- | 19 | -15 | -14 | | 0.48 | -1.38 | |
3/13 | A | Pinnacle | 4- | 14 | -10 | -10 | | 0.48 | 0.34 | |
3/17 | A | Notre Dame Prep, AZ | 16- | 2 | 14 | 11 | + | 0.48 | 2.66 | |
4/01 | H | Gilbert | 8- | 15 | -7 | -3 | – | -0.48 | -3.52 | |
4/05 | H | Chaparral, AZ | 4- | 17 | -13 | -10 | – | -0.48 | -3.32 | |
4/10 | H | Horizon | 10- | 22 | -12 | -13 | | -0.48 | 0.66 | |
4/12 | H | Desert Mountain | 10- | 9 | 1 | -5 | ++ | -0.48 | 5.70 | |
4/14 | A | Gilbert | 10- | 17 | -7 | -4 | – | 0.48 | -2.55 | |
4/17 | H | Pinnacle | 2- | 14 | -12 | -9 | – | -0.48 | -2.62 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/26 | A | Chaparral, AZ | 3- | 16 | 2.36 |
3/11 | A | Horizon | 4- | 19 | 1.38 |
3/13 | A | Pinnacle | 4- | 14 | 0.00 |
3/17 | A | Notre Dame Prep, AZ | 16- | 2 | -2.66 |
4/05 | H | Chaparral, AZ | 4- | 17 | 3.00 |
4/10 | H | Horizon | 10- | 22 | -0.66 |
4/17 | H | Pinnacle | 2- | 14 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.45 |
| National Rating |
|---|
| Natl CCR Rating | 60. | | Natl CCR Rank | 1740 |
| Natl Poll Vote | n/a | | Natl Poll Rank | n/a |
| Natl Power Rating | 61.19 | | Natl Power Rank | 1740 |
| Natl SOS Rating | 62.46 | | Natl SOS Rank | 947 |
| Natl Quality Win Rating | 0.05 | | Natl Quality Win Rank | 966 |
| W-L Pct Rating | 0.25 | | W-L Pct Rank | 1583 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 3-9 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-7 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 3-9 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -5.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -6.0 |
|
