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Sun Jul 6 11:29:33 EDT 2008
The accuracy is listed for each league or region. The average
Goal error is a measure in goals how close the power ratings
predicted the actual goal margin. 3.01 goals means that for
all games played in a region, the power ratings predicted on
average within 3.01 goals. The number of times the power rat-
ings predicted within one, two, three, etc. goals is shown
under the columns <1, <2, etc. So for the number 25, this
means that 25 out of 84 (total games) or about 30% of the
games, the power rating error was within 1 goal.
Regional Average No Measuring (goals) how close the PR
Team Goal error Games predicted actual goal difference
<1 <2 <3 <4 <5 >5
AL 1.41 6 5 1 0 0 0 1
AK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AR 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
AZ 2.88 83 16 19 14 10 9 15
CA No 3.03 372 79 77 54 59 41 62
CA No Club 4.19 17 4 2 2 2 3 5
CA Ce 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
FL West Club 3.02 31 5 9 5 3 4 5
CA So 2.85 493 117 96 89 77 41 73
CA So Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
CO 3.05 284 61 64 53 23 28 56
CT 2.66 586 150 114 102 84 56 80
CT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
DE 3.23 194 43 36 27 29 20 39
FL FHSAA 3.18 432 92 72 69 60 45 94
FL SE Club 3.11 105 25 22 19 13 9 18
GA 3.03 318 62 73 52 45 25 61
HA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ID 2.89 3 0 1 1 0 1 0
IL 3.97 332 51 54 47 45 39 97
IN 3.02 116 29 27 17 11 6 26
IA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
KA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
KE 3.34 84 21 15 15 9 8 16
ME 2.94 222 42 56 44 29 18 33
DC Area 3.30 259 57 59 40 20 31 52
IAAM-A 3.05 143 33 24 24 19 18 25
IAAM-B 2.92 93 25 17 17 10 8 16
IAAM-C 3.30 64 13 12 11 11 3 14
MD Private 4.55 82 18 11 17 6 8 22
MD 4321 3.24 872 182 180 135 110 82 184
MA 2.87 1180 271 251 212 155 105 188
MI DI 3.38 374 70 71 61 48 40 84
MI DII 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MI Club 5.20 44 5 3 8 5 6 17
MN 2.38 245 64 56 50 34 20 21
MN Club 2.55 28 11 2 3 6 3 3
MS 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
MO 3.25 77 17 15 11 12 3 20
MA 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE Prep 3.14 562 130 99 109 67 47 111
RI 3.07 197 47 37 39 25 16 34
NE Ind 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE West I 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NE West II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NH 2.72 250 52 60 40 33 28 37
NH II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NJ ABC 3.05 1438 316 277 238 183 144 280
NV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NM 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NY City 3.44 123 28 25 17 16 10 27
NY Catholic 3.95 61 6 13 19 5 6 13
NY Sect 1 2.84 320 75 65 56 45 24 57
NY Sect 2 2.78 176 40 42 24 25 17 28
NY Sect 3 3.18 366 75 73 63 52 30 73
NY Sect 4 2.73 107 21 23 20 19 12 12
NY Sect 5 2.78 298 67 71 45 42 23 50
NY Sect 6 2.95 194 33 39 45 26 20 31
NY Sect 8 2.66 375 88 83 70 48 38 48
NY Sect 9 2.32 88 21 22 17 14 6 8
NY Sect 10 4.43 54 7 18 6 3 5 15
NY Sect 11 2.97 367 79 72 56 58 45 57
NC Public 3.00 359 78 60 82 41 27 72
NC Private 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
NC Club 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
ND 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OH I 2.81 571 133 133 90 79 48 88
OH II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OH III/IV 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OK 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
OR 3.03 241 37 55 48 34 23 44
PA PSLA 3.40 857 158 150 140 123 104 184
PA Independent 3.05 213 38 52 36 39 15 33
PA WPIAL 3.15 258 51 55 37 37 28 50
SC 2.85 92 19 18 20 13 7 15
SD 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
TN 3.22 169 31 44 19 17 21 37
TX 2.69 275 76 50 45 39 25 40
TX B 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
UT 2.48 134 33 29 27 20 13 12
VT 2.93 196 39 42 33 26 24 32
VT II 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VA Public 3.05 605 129 131 93 70 53 129
VA Private 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
VA /Private I 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
WA B 2.71 92 22 22 13 15 6 14
WA A 2.77 69 19 14 12 6 7 11
WV 4.37 20 4 2 1 1 3 10
WI 4.06 25 2 6 3 4 3 7
WY 0.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
No Georgia 5.42 8 1 0 1 0 1 5
TOTAL 2.95 15496 3415 3200 2658 2078 1485 2677
total games............... = 15496
ave error (goals)......... = 2.95
total upsets.............. = 3870
% of games within 1 goal.. = 22.04
% of games within 2 goals. = 42.69
% of games within 3 goals. = 59.84
% of games within 4 goals. = 73.25
% of games within 5 goals. = 82.83
% of games > 5 goals. = 17.28
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