| Conference: Gray - Federal | | | |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/16 | H | Miller Lite | 6- | 8 | -2 | -1 | | -1.38 | -0.91 | |
3/30 | A | Montgomery LC | 10- | 5 | 5 | 5 | | 1.38 | 0.35 | |
4/06 | H | Coors Light | 3- | 7 | -4 | -1 | – | -1.38 | -2.88 | |
4/13 | A | DeWALT | 1- | 14 | -13 | -7 | ––– | 1.38 | -6.17 | |
4/20 | H | Alexandria | 14- | 12 | 2 | 0 | | -1.38 | 1.54 | |
4/27 | A | Capital | 1- | 7 | -6 | -8 | | 1.38 | 1.57 | |
5/04 | A | Six Shooters | 5- | 11 | -6 | -7 | | 1.38 | 0.82 | |
5/10 | H | Bullfrogs | 12- | 9 | 3 | 4 | | -1.38 | -1.37 | |
5/18 | A | Capital | 9- | 13 | -4 | -8 | + | 1.38 | 3.57 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -3.47 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/13 | A | DeWALT | 1- | 14 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.33 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 95.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 31 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 83.91 | | Local Power Rank | 32 |
| Local SOS Rating | 85.99 | | Local SOS Rank | 26 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.47 | | Local RPI Rank | 34 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 40 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 55 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 52 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 4-7 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -7.2 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-5 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -7.2 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -2.3 |
|
