| Conference: Gray - Federal | | | |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/16 | A | Coors Light | 14- | 11 | 3 | 1 | | 1.38 | 1.66 | |
3/30 | A | Alexandria | 13- | 8 | 5 | 3 | + | 1.38 | 2.09 | |
4/13 | A | Miller Lite | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | 1.38 | -0.37 | |
5/04 | A | Virginia Beach | 12- | 6 | 6 | 7 | | 1.38 | -0.70 | |
6/08 | H | Capital | 8- | 11 | -3 | 0 | – | -1.38 | -3.40 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -0.73 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
| 10-goal correction: 0.00 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 48.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 12 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 89.13 | | Local Power Rank | 11 |
| Local SOS Rating | 85.58 | | Local SOS Rank | 32 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.62 | | Local RPI Rank | 5 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 10 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 45 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 2 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-1 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 2.4 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 1.3 |
|
