| Conference: Gray - Federal | | | |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/ | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
| Actual | Predicted |
3/16 | A | Montgomery LC | 20- | 3 | 17 | 10 | +++ | 1.38 | 6.91 | |
3/30 | A | Coors Light | 16- | 11 | 5 | 2 | + | 1.38 | 3.43 | |
4/06 | H | Capital | 11- | 20 | -9 | 1 | | -1.38 | -9.63 | |
4/20 | H | Virginia Beach | 14- | 1 | 13 | 10 | + | -1.38 | 3.32 | |
4/27 | H | Alexandria | 15- | 5 | 10 | 6 | ++ | -1.38 | 4.10 | |
5/04 | H | Washington LC | 11- | 5 | 6 | 7 | | -1.38 | -0.82 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 7.31 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
3/16 | A | Montgomery LC | 20- | 3 | -6.91 |
4/20 | H | Virginia Beach | 14- | 1 | -3.32 |
4/27 | H | Alexandria | 15- | 5 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -1.70 |
| Local Rating |
| Local TSI Rating | 61.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 16 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 89.35 | | Local Power Rank | 10 |
| Local SOS Rating | 84.88 | | Local SOS Rank | 37 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.56 | | Local RPI Rank | 14 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 11 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 48 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.40 | | Local Loss Rank | 11 |
| Local Performance |
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-2 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 7.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-1 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 3-0 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 9.7 |
|