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Computer Rating

Strength of Schedule

NCAA Selection Criteria

Conf. Standings

Capital (14-3)

Conference: Gray - Federal

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score				QWF
3/21	at Mt. Washington (9-4)	Gray - North	88.6		W	17-	13
3/27	at DeWALT (8-4)	Gray - North	89.4		W	11-	9
3/30	MILLER LITE (2-6)	Gray - Federa	86.4		W	10-	5
3/30	VIRGINIA BEACH (2-6)	Gray - Federa	81.1		W	16-	7
4/06	at Six Shooters (5-2)	Gray - Federa	89.4		W	20-	11
4/13	COORS LIGHT (5-4)	Gray - Federa	86.4		W	12-	7
4/20	at Richmond Shock (8-1)	Gray - Federa	89.1		L	0-	1
4/27	WASHINGTON LC (4-7)	Gray - Federa	83.9		W	7-	1
5/04	MONTGOMERY LC (2-8)	Gray - Federa	77.9		W	16-	6
5/04	MILLER LITE (2-6)	Gray - Federa	86.4		W	9-	8
5/18	WASHINGTON LC (4-7)	Gray - Federa	83.9		W	13-	9
5/27	vs. Bar Fly # (9-4)	Gray - East	85.9		W	11-	10
6/01	at Alexandria (3-5)	Gray - Federa	84.8		L	10-	11	2ot
6/08	at Richmond Shock (8-1)	Gray - Federa	89.1		W	11-	8
6/14	vs. Charm City # (7-7)	Gray - East	87.0		W	9-	7
6/15	vs. Mt. Washington # (9-4)	Gray - North	88.6		W	14-	13
6/21	vs. NYAC # (11-2)	Blue - NY Wes	91.2		L	12-	14
# Neutral site			86.5						0.00

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
3/21	A	Mt. Washington	17-	13	4	0	+	1.38	3.92
3/27	A	DeWALT	11-	9	2	-1	+	1.38	2.63
3/30	H	Miller Lite	10-	5	5	5		-1.38	-0.10
3/30	H	Virginia Beach	16-	7	9	10		-1.38	-1.43
4/06	A	Six Shooters	20-	11	9	-1	+++	1.38	9.63
4/13	H	Coors Light	12-	7	5	5		-1.38	-0.08
4/27	H	Washington LC	7-	1	6	8		-1.38	-1.57
5/04	H	Montgomery LC	16-	6	10	14	–	-1.38	-3.60
5/04	H	Miller Lite	9-	8	1	5	––	-1.38	-4.10
5/18	H	Washington LC	13-	9	4	8	–	-1.38	-3.57
5/27	N	Bar Fly	11-	10	1	4	–	0.00	-3.20
6/01	A	Alexandria	10-	11	-1	4	––	1.38	-4.89
6/08	A	Richmond Shock	11-	8	3	0	+	1.38	3.40
6/14	N	Charm City	9-	7	2	3		0.00	-1.10
6/15	N	Mt. Washington	14-	13	1	1		0.00	-0.46
6/21	N	NYAC	12-	14	-2	-1		0.00	-0.88
									-5.40	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
5/04	H	Montgomery LC	16-	6	3.60
10-goal correction: 0.22

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	24.00		Local TSI Rank	5
Local Poll Vote	n/a		Local Poll Rank	n/a
Local Power Rating	90.10		Local Power Rank	6
Local SOS Rating	86.50		Local SOS Rank	14
Local RPI Rating	0.64		Local RPI Rank	3
Local Trend Rating	2.00		Local Trend Rank	14
Local Quality Win Rating	-inf		Local Quality Win Rank	14
Local Loss Rating	0.60		Local Loss Rank	13
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	14-3		Ave Goal diff (all )	3.7
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-1		Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.0
Wins/Losses (top 10)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (top 10)	3.0
Wins/Losses (top 20)	5-2		Ave Goal diff (top 20)	2.8
Wins/Losses (last 3)	2-1		Ave Goal diff (last 3)	0.3


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