| Conference: Gray - Federal | | | |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/09 | A | Sandy Point | 13- | 7 | 6 | 3 | + | 1.38 | 3.23 | |
3/16 | H | Richmond Shock | 11- | 14 | -3 | -1 | | -1.38 | -1.66 | |
3/30 | H | Six Shooters | 11- | 16 | -5 | -2 | – | -1.38 | -3.43 | |
4/06 | A | Washington LC | 7- | 3 | 4 | 1 | + | 1.38 | 2.88 | |
4/13 | A | Capital | 7- | 12 | -5 | -5 | | 1.38 | 0.08 | |
4/27 | H | Miller Lite | 13- | 11 | 2 | 1 | | -1.38 | 0.59 | |
5/04 | A | Alexandria | 7- | 8 | -1 | 0 | | 1.38 | -1.19 | |
5/17 | A | Virginia Beach | 14- | 12 | 2 | 4 | | 1.38 | -1.98 | |
6/08 | H | Montgomery LC | 22- | 5 | 17 | 10 | +++ | -1.38 | 7.10 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 5.63 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
6/08 | H | Montgomery LC | 22- | 5 | -7.10 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.79 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 87.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 28 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 86.41 | | Local Power Rank | 23 |
| Local SOS Rating | 84.98 | | Local SOS Rank | 35 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.49 | | Local RPI Rank | 28 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 17 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -inf | | Local Quality Win Rank | 17 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 23 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.9 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -5.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -4.3 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 6.0 |
|
