| Conference: Region III | | State: NY | Coach: Todd Weil |
| Date | Opponent | Conference | PR | Top 10 | Score | | QWF |
|---|
3/20 | at Harford (1-12) | Region XX | 63.9 | | W | 11- | 9 | | 0.00 |
3/21 | at Delaware Tech. (5-7) | Region XIX | 66.2 | | L | 11- | 18 | | 0.00 |
4/01 | MERCYHURST NORTH EAST (5-8) | Region III | 61.6 | | W | 19- | 10 | | 0.00 |
4/03 | at Genesee (5-9) | Region III | 60.1 | | W | 17- | 11 | | 0.00 |
4/08 | at Cayuga (1-14) | Region III | 56.0 | | W | 19- | 8 | | 0.00 |
4/10 | BROOME (10-5) | Region III | 68.8 | 10 | W | 14- | 7 | | -0.10 |
4/13 | at Jefferson (8-7) | Region III | 64.3 | | W | 17- | 12 | | 0.00 |
4/15 | MONROE (10-6) | Region III | 76.1 | 8 | L | 6- | 17 | | 0.00 |
4/18 | at Finger Lakes (10-10) | Region III | 65.8 | | L | 14- | 19 | | 0.00 |
4/20 | vs. Delhi # (5-8) | Region III | 62.5 | | W | 19- | 14 | | 0.00 |
4/21 | HERKIMER (15-3) | Region III | 81.8 | 3 | L | 11- | 29 | | 0.00 |
4/23 | at Onondaga (16-2) | Region III | 84.9 | 1 | L | 11- | 26 | | 0.00 |
4/27 | TOMPKINS CORTLAND (3-9) | Region III | 58.5 | | W | 22- | 17 | | 0.00 |
4/29 | at Hudson Valley (14-5) | Region III | 72.9 | 6 | L | 7- | 19 | | 0.00 |
| # Neutral site | | 66.1 | | | | | | -0.10 |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
3/20 | A | Harford | 11- | 9 | 2 | 2 | | 0.35 | 0.22 | |
3/21 | A | Delaware Tech. | 11- | 18 | -7 | 0 | ––– | 0.35 | -6.55 | |
4/01 | H | Mercyhurst North East | 19- | 10 | 9 | 5 | ++ | -0.35 | 4.19 | |
4/03 | A | Genesee | 17- | 11 | 6 | 6 | | 0.35 | 0.40 | |
4/08 | A | Cayuga | 19- | 8 | 11 | 10 | | 0.35 | 1.26 | |
4/10 | H | Broome | 14- | 7 | 7 | -2 | +++ | -0.35 | 9.42 | |
4/13 | A | Jefferson | 17- | 12 | 5 | 1 | + | 0.35 | 3.55 | |
4/15 | H | Monroe | 6- | 17 | -11 | -10 | | -0.35 | -1.34 | |
4/18 | A | Finger Lakes | 14- | 19 | -5 | 0 | –– | 0.35 | -4.92 | |
4/20 | N | Delhi | 19- | 14 | 5 | 4 | | 0.00 | 1.46 | |
4/21 | H | Herkimer | 11- | 29 | -18 | -15 | – | -0.35 | -2.61 | |
4/23 | A | Onondaga | 11- | 26 | -15 | -19 | ++ | 0.35 | 4.19 | |
4/27 | H | Tompkins Cortland | 22- | 17 | 5 | 8 | – | -0.35 | -2.86 | |
4/29 | A | Hudson Valley | 7- | 19 | -12 | -7 | –– | 0.35 | -4.85 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 1.56 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/08 | A | Cayuga | 19- | 8 | -1.26 |
4/15 | H | Monroe | 6- | 17 | 1.00 |
4/21 | H | Herkimer | 11- | 29 | 2.61 |
4/23 | A | Onondaga | 11- | 26 | -4.19 |
4/29 | A | Hudson Valley | 7- | 19 | 2.00 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.01 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 46.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 15 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 66.05 | | Local Power Rank | 14 |
| Local SOS Rating | 66.06 | | Local SOS Rank | 18 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.51 | | Local RPI Rank | 10 |
| Local Trend Rating | 3.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 13 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.10 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 14 |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.20 | | Local Loss Rank | 10 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-6 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | -1.3 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -16.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.8 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -7.3 |
|
