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Army Black Knights (9-6)

Conference: Patriot

Region: Northeast

State: NY

Coach: Joe Alberici

Penn Dims Tournament Hopes for No. 18 Army

PHILADELPHIA - Army senior goalkeeper Adam Fullerton made 10 saves, while junior attackman Jason Peyer scored two goals and an assist, but it was Pennsylvania taking a 13-9 victory this afternoon at Franklin Field in Philadelphia. [full story]

Date	Opponent	Conference	PR	Top 10	Score*			QWF
2/16	VMI (6-10)	Metro Atlanti	84.4		W	16-	3	0.00
2/24	at Syracuse (13-2)	Independent	97.8	3	L	7-	8	0.00
3/01	AIR FORCE (3-9)	Great Western	85.8		W	12-	4	0.00
3/08	at Cornell (11-4)	Ivy League	94.2	7	L	8-	9	0.00
3/15	vs. Rutgers # (6-7)	ECAC	91.1		W	12-	11	0.00
3/19	at Lehigh (6-9)	Patriot	88.0		W	4-	3	0.00
3/22	HOLY CROSS (5-9)	Patriot	85.8		W	14-	5	0.00
3/25	at Hofstra (10-6)	Colonial	92.0	16	W	8-	7	-0.25
3/29	COLGATE (11-6)	Patriot	93.0	10	W	13-	9	-0.55
4/04	at Bucknell (10-5)	Patriot	92.2		L	4-	7	0.00
4/12	NAVY (10-5)	Patriot	93.5	14	W	9-	6	-0.35
4/15	at Lafayette (4-9)	Patriot	86.5		W	12-	4	0.00
4/19	vs. Duke # (17-1)	ACC	99.9	1	L	6-	10	0.00
4/25	BUCKNELL (10-5)	Patriot	92.2		L	7-	8	0.00
5/03	at Penn (6-7)	Ivy League	89.9		L	9-	13	0.00
* Click the score for the game story. # Neutral site			91.5					-1.15

Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Goal Differential		+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games.
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Actual	Predicted	+/–	Home Adv.	Err-L	Err-E
2/16	H	VMI	16-	3	13	11		-1.70	1.74
2/24	A	Syracuse	7-	8	-1	-7	++	1.70	5.85
3/01	H	Air Force	12-	4	8	10		-1.70	-1.67
3/08	A	Cornell	8-	9	-1	-3		1.70	1.66
3/15	N	Rutgers	12-	11	1	2		0.00	-1.50
3/19	A	Lehigh	4-	3	1	4	–	1.70	-2.71
3/22	H	Holy Cross	14-	5	9	10		-1.70	-0.62
3/25	A	Hofstra	8-	7	1	-1		1.70	1.62
3/29	H	Colgate	13-	9	4	2		-1.70	1.83
4/04	A	Bucknell	4-	7	-3	0	–	1.70	-2.79
4/12	H	Navy	9-	6	3	1		-1.70	1.54
4/15	A	Lafayette	12-	4	8	5	+	1.70	3.12
4/19	N	Duke	6-	10	-4	-6	+	0.00	2.05
4/25	H	Bucknell	7-	8	-1	3	––	-1.70	-4.19
5/03	A	Penn	9-	13	-4	2	––	1.70	-5.94
									0.00	0.00

Ten Goal Limit Correction
Date	Site	Opponent	Score		Adj.
2/16	H	VMI	16-	3	-1.74
10-goal correction: -0.12

Local Rating
Local TSI Rating	59.00	Local TSI Rank	19
Local Poll Vote	26.	Local Poll Rank	19
Local Power Rating	93.41	Local Power Rank	14
Local SOS Rating	91.47	Local SOS Rank	26
Local RPI Rating	0.57	Local RPI Rank	18
Local Trend Rating	3.00	Local Trend Rank	23
Local Quality Win Rating	-1.15	Local Quality Win Rank	15
Local Loss Rating	1.20	Local Loss Rank	17
Local Performance
Wins/Losses (all )	9-6	Ave Goal diff (all )	2.3
Wins/Losses (top 5)	0-2	Ave Goal diff (top 5)	-2.5
Wins/Losses (top 10)	1-3	Ave Goal diff (top 10)	-0.5
Wins/Losses (top 20)	3-3	Ave Goal diff (top 20)	0.3
Wins/Losses (last 3)	0-3	Ave Goal diff (last 3)	-3.0


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