| Conference: SELC 1 | Region: Central | State: AL | Coach: Brett Harwell |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/02 | H | Emory | 11- | 5 | 6 | 10 | – | -1.59 | | -3.82 |
2/23 | A | Lindenwood | 8- | 9 | -1 | -2 | | 1.68 | 0.79 | |
2/24 | N | St. Louis U. | 10- | 8 | 2 | 13 | ––– | 0.00 | | 11.26 |
2/29 | A | Georgia | 4- | 10 | -6 | -4 | | 1.68 | -1.61 | |
3/08 | H | Tennessee | 13- | 4 | 9 | 8 | | -1.68 | 1.05 | |
3/09 | H | Boston University | 9- | 4 | 5 | 5 | | -1.68 | -0.09 | |
3/29 | A | Georgia Tech | 7- | 9 | -2 | 3 | –– | 1.68 | -4.71 | |
4/04 | A | South Florida | 15- | 4 | 11 | 10 | | 1.68 | 0.56 | |
4/06 | A | Central Florida | 5- | 5 | 0 | -1 | | 1.68 | 1.16 | |
4/12 | H | Vanderbilt | 14- | 4 | 10 | 6 | + | -1.68 | 3.65 | |
4/13 | H | Alabama | 22- | 4 | 18 | 24 | ––– | -1.59 | | -6.49 |
4/18 | N | Florida | 11- | 8 | 3 | -1 | ++ | 0.00 | 4.03 | |
4/19 | N | Virginia Tech | 3- | 10 | -7 | -1 | –– | 0.00 | -5.62 | |
| | | | | | | | | | -0.80 | -21.58 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/04 | A | South Florida | 15- | 4 | -0.56 |
4/12 | H | Vanderbilt | 14- | 4 | 0.00 |
4/13 | H | Alabama | 22- | 4 | 6.49 |
| 10-goal correction: 0.46 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 87.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 26 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 80.17 | | Local Power Rank | 20 |
| Local SOS Rating | 74.20 | | Local SOS Rank | 42 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.55 | | Local RPI Rank | 24 |
| Local Trend Rating | 1.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 3 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -0.44 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 37 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 15 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 8-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 3.7 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-0 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-2 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -6.5 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 1-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -2.8 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 4.7 |
|
