| Conference: WCLL 1 | Region: South | State: AZ | Coach: Chris Malone |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/11 | A | Grand Canyon | 23- | 7 | 16 | 14 | + | 1.80 | | 2.45 |
2/15 | H | Cal Poly - SLO | 10- | 9 | 1 | 7 | –– | -1.68 | -5.85 | |
2/24 | H | Michigan | 8- | 11 | -3 | -3 | | -1.68 | 0.38 | |
3/01 | H | USC | 20- | 5 | 15 | 13 | | -1.68 | 1.79 | |
3/02 | H | UCLA | 17- | 7 | 10 | 14 | – | -1.68 | -3.82 | |
3/09 | A | Utah | 22- | 8 | 14 | 4 | +++ | 1.68 | 9.67 | |
3/11 | A | Brigham Young | 15- | 17 | -2 | -5 | + | 1.68 | 2.83 | |
3/15 | H | Texas Tech | 17- | 10 | 7 | 13 | ––– | -1.68 | -6.17 | |
3/19 | H | Illinois | 19- | 10 | 9 | 6 | + | -1.68 | 2.79 | |
3/21 | H | San Diego State | 17- | 10 | 7 | 8 | | -1.68 | -1.07 | |
3/30 | H | UC San Diego | 21- | 3 | 18 | 10 | +++ | -1.68 | 7.79 | |
4/06 | A | UC Santa Barbara | 9- | 8 | 1 | 1 | | 1.68 | 0.42 | |
4/13 | A | San Diego | 17- | 11 | 6 | 8 | | 1.68 | -1.85 | |
4/20 | H | Arizona | 16- | 6 | 10 | 8 | + | -1.68 | 2.48 | |
4/26 | H | UC Santa Barbara | 14- | 8 | 6 | 4 | + | -1.68 | 2.07 | |
5/03 | N | Chico State | 11- | 8 | 3 | 6 | – | 0.00 | -2.99 | |
5/04 | N | Chapman | 9- | 17 | -8 | -3 | –– | 0.00 | -5.46 | |
5/13 | N | UC Santa Barbara | 11- | 8 | 3 | 2 | | 0.00 | 0.74 | |
5/14 | N | Minnesota - Duluth | 8- | 7 | 1 | -1 | + | 0.00 | 2.05 | |
5/16 | N | Chapman | 15- | 18 | -3 | -3 | | 0.00 | -0.46 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 5.34 | 2.45 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
2/11 | A | Grand Canyon | 23- | 7 | -2.45 |
3/01 | H | USC | 20- | 5 | -1.79 |
3/02 | H | UCLA | 17- | 7 | 3.82 |
3/09 | A | Utah | 22- | 8 | -4.00 |
3/30 | H | UC San Diego | 21- | 3 | -7.79 |
4/20 | H | Arizona | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.61 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 0.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 5 |
| Local Poll Vote | 798. | | Local Poll Rank | 6 |
| Local Power Rating | 84.84 | | Local Power Rank | 6 |
| Local SOS Rating | 79.28 | | Local SOS Rank | 8 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.62 | | Local RPI Rank | 7 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 22 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | -3.36 | | Local Quality Win Rank | 6 |
| Local Loss Rating | 0.80 | | Local Loss Rank | 13 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 16-4 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 5.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 1-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -3.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 5-4 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | 1.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 2-1 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | 0.3 |
| 
