| Conference: UMLL 2 | | State: MN | Coach: Mike Ferrin |
| Predicted goals based on 'Reg In' PR for regional and 'Norm' PR for interregional games. |
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Goal Differential | +/– | Home Adv. | Err-L | Err-E |
|---|
| Actual | Predicted |
|---|
2/22 | N | North Dakota State | 11- | 12 | -1 | -1 | | 0.00 | 0.07 | |
2/29 | N | St. John's (MN) | 6- | 12 | -6 | -6 | | 0.00 | -0.42 | |
3/28 | N | Hope | 11- | 17 | -6 | 3 | ––– | 0.00 | -8.76 | |
3/29 | N | Grove City | 9- | 8 | 1 | 3 | | 0.00 | -1.97 | |
4/05 | N | Minnesota St. Moorhead | 18- | 3 | 15 | 7 | +++ | 0.00 | 7.93 | |
4/13 | H | North Dakota | 16- | 6 | 10 | 9 | | -1.50 | 1.41 | |
4/18 | H | Augsburg | 16- | 4 | 12 | 13 | | -1.50 | -1.16 | |
4/19 | H | UW - Eau Claire | 17- | 5 | 12 | 4 | +++ | -1.50 | 7.56 | |
4/20 | A | St. Thomas | 5- | 13 | -8 | -10 | + | 1.50 | 2.05 | |
5/03 | N | St. Thomas | 6- | 19 | -13 | -9 | –– | 0.00 | -4.45 | |
| | | | | | | | | | 2.26 | 0.00 |
| Ten Goal Limit Correction |
|---|
| Date | Site | Opponent | Score | Adj. |
|---|
4/05 | N | Minnesota St. Moorhead | 18- | 3 | -5.00 |
4/13 | H | North Dakota | 16- | 6 | 0.00 |
4/18 | H | Augsburg | 16- | 4 | 1.16 |
4/19 | H | UW - Eau Claire | 17- | 5 | -2.00 |
5/03 | N | St. Thomas | 6- | 19 | 3.00 |
| 10-goal correction: -0.28 |
| Local Rating |
|---|
| Local TSI Rating | 94.00 | | Local TSI Rank | 27 |
| Local Poll Vote | n/a | | Local Poll Rank | n/a |
| Local Power Rating | 66.83 | | Local Power Rank | 27 |
| Local SOS Rating | 66.04 | | Local SOS Rank | 26 |
| Local RPI Rating | 0.51 | | Local RPI Rank | 38 |
| Local Trend Rating | 2.00 | | Local Trend Rank | 19 |
| Local Quality Win Rating | n/a | | Local Quality Win Rank | n/a |
| Local Loss Rating | 1.00 | | Local Loss Rank | 51 |
| Local Performance |
|---|
| Wins/Losses (all ) | 5-5 | | Ave Goal diff (all ) | 1.6 |
| Wins/Losses (top 5) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 5) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 10) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 10) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (top 20) | 0-3 | | Ave Goal diff (top 20) | -9.0 |
| Wins/Losses (last 3) | 1-2 | | Ave Goal diff (last 3) | -3.0 |
| 
